Inevitable Disaster: Why Hurricanes Can’t Be Blamed On Global Warming

Partly in response to the crazy claims of the usual global warming experts (Stevie Wonder, Beyoncé, Jennifer Lawrence, Mark Ruffalo, Bill Nye the Science Guy, Neil deGrasse Tyson, Pope Francis), I decided to write another Kindle e-book. This one is entitled, Inevitable Disaster: Why Hurricanes Can’t Be Blamed On Global Warming.

In it I review the many fascinating examples of major hurricane landfalls in the United States, even going back to colonial times.

For example, two major hurricane strikes endured by the Massachusetts Bay Colony, in 1635 and in 1675, have yet to be rivaled in more modern times. Major hurricane Maria, now approaching Dominica and Guadeloupe, is probably no match for the Great Hurricane of 1780 in the Caribbean, which had estimated winds of 200 mph and killed 20,000 people.

I also address the reasons why Hurricane Harvey and its flooding cannot be blamed on climate change. Regarding Hurricane Irma which recently terrorized Florida, you might be surprised to learn that it is consistent with a downward trend in both the number and intensity of landfalling major Florida hurricanes:

But what has changed is the number of people and amount of infrastructure at risk along the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico coastlines. Before 1900, there were virtually no people residing in Florida. Now its population exceeds 20 million. Miami was incorporated in 1896…with only 300 people. Even if there is no long-term change in hurricane activity, hurricane damage will increase as coastal development increases.

I review the science of why major hurricanes in the tropical Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico are not limited by sea surface temperatures, which are warm enough every hurricane season to support catastrophic hurricanes.

Even the IPCC has low confidence in whether hurricanes will become more frequent or more severe in the coming decades. NOAA’s GFDL says we might see 2% to 11% increase in activity by the end of the century. Does that sound like what you should be worrying about during hurricane season if you live on the Florida coast? Maybe instead you should worry that you chose to live somewhere that will, inevitably, be hit by a hurricane sent by Mother Nature that will be catastrophic with or without the help of humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions.

The book is an easy read, with fewer than 11,000 words, and 17 illustrations.

Read more at Dr. Roy Spencer’s blog

Comments (2)

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    Spurwing Plover


    Dont forget that Al Bores junk science fake documenty A Inconnvent Trutrh show a Hurricane coming from a factory some stack it realy should had the Hurricane coming from Al Bores mouth one of the #1 sources of Hot Air besides Leonardo DiCaprio and Greenpeace as well as the EDF and NRDC

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    Thank you Dr. Spencer!
    So few climate experts seem to have the courage to speak up about the Global Warming deception – probably with good reason, given the severity of the attacks directed toward anyone disputing the ‘Climate Change’ doctrine.
    My local university here in Australia is James Cook University, erstwhile home of Dr. Robert Carter. Dr. Carter was another gem of an academic, quite similar to Dr. Spencer in his resolute refusal to prostitute science for political purposes.
    He was fired from his job at the university, even having his library privileges revoked mind you(!), and died not long afterwards. All this for daring to state a perfectly valid opinion that climate change is natural and that man’s recent contribution (if any) hasn’t yet been reliably quantified but is highly unlikely to be anywhere near as serious as certain parties would have us believe.

    I have no evidence to back the following sentiment but I can’t help but think the stress associated with Bob Carter’s appalling treatment at the hands of the academic staff at James Cook University contributed to his untimely death. A tragic loss to the scientific community.

    More power to you, Dr. Spencer!! Your work is greatly admired and very much appreciated.

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