President Donald Trump declared vindication Saturday night after the United Nations’ (UN) top climate panel quietly retreated from its most alarming long-term warming forecast. [some emphasis, links added]
Trump tore into the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for backing away from a scenario known as RCP8.5 on Truth Social.
The pathway had projected warming of 4 to 5 degrees Celsius by the end of the century.
“GOOD RIDDANCE! After 15 years of Dumocrats promising that ‘Climate Change’ is going to destroy the Planet, the United Nations TOP Climate Committee just admitted that its own projections (RCP8.5) were WRONG! WRONG! WRONG!” the president wrote. He added that his administration would stay grounded in “TRUTH, SCIENCE, and FACT” rather than what he called a “GREEN NEW SCAM.”
IPCC researchers revised their modeling approach last month, swapping the extreme pathway for seven alternative scenarios, The New York Post reported.
The same outlet noted that EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin scrapped an Obama-era greenhouse gas rule in February, and pointed to the Glacier National Park signage that officials had to remove in 2020 after predicted ice melt failed to materialize.
The now-discarded scenario appeared in roughly 45,000 academic papers and had served as the backbone for forecasts of mass crop failure, rising seas, and even extinction-level outcomes, GB News reported.
The outlet pointed to the paper published in Geoscientific Model Development. Its authors wrote that the high-emission pathway had “become implausible, based on trends in the costs of renewables, the emergence of climate policy, and recent emission trends.
Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates broke with longtime climate orthodoxy in a memo released before the COP30 summit, CNN reported in October.
“Although climate change will have serious consequences – particularly for people in the poorest countries – it will not lead to humanity’s demise,” Gates wrote.
Top: Trump delivers remarks on energy at the Port of Corpus Christi, Texas. Official White House Photo by Molly Riley.
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