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Late-Summer Arctic Sea Ice Extent Hasn’t Fallen In 20 Years, Satellite Data Show

And Europe’s burned area remains unusually low, while Atlantic cyclone activity is running well below normal.

by Pierre Gosselin
August 31, 2026, 9:06 AM
in Bipolar, Extreme Weather, News and Opinion, Science
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
0

polar bear sea ice
As summer slips into fall, several key indicators aren’t cooperating with the usual climate-alarmist narrative. Arctic sea ice, European wildfires, and Atlantic hurricane activity are all showing far less drama than the screeching headlines might suggest. –CCD ed.


No late-summer Arctic sea-ice melting in 20 years!

Why are the climate-ambulance chasers now way out in Nepal, grabbing at straws? The reason is that there’s little weather action anywhere else that would support the climate alarmist narrative – not even the Arctic.

Typically this time of the year you’ll find them chasing hurricanes in the Atlantic basin, or hollering doomsday warnings way up in the Arctic.

August 27 Arctic sea-ice extent

Strangely, the alarmists have been mysteriously absent from the North Pole region for many years now. Al Gore’s warning (citing experts) of an ice-free Arctic by 2013 never materialized.

Here’s the August 27 Arctic sea-ice extent since 1990:

Chart by NTZ. Data source: Meereisportal

The data show that late-summer Arctic sea ice (August 27) has remained stable over the past two decades!

The post-2007 trend slope is only -0.01 million km²/year, a significant deceleration compared to the rapid loss rate of -0.105 million km² per year observed between 1990 and 2006.

In a nutshell, the late-summer Arctic sea-ice minimum has been stable for 20 years!

Record-low burned area in Europe

And despite all the media screaming about Europe’s hot and dry summer and raging forest fires, the data show very calm and encouraging conditions in terms of burned area for 2026 over Europe:

Source: GWIS

This summer, the burned area across Europe has remained at a record low and will likely finish far below normal as rain sweeps over Europe again.

This is inconvenient news for climate alarmists.

Low Atlantic cyclone activity this year

Also, the hurricane season isn’t cooperating.

The next chart compares the 2026 Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which shows how frequent and strong hurricanes have been against historical averages and notable El Niño analog years through late August.

Chart by NTZ. Data source

2026 Atlantic cyclone energy has only been 11% of normal activity.

Now you know why the climate-ambulance chasers have all gone to Nepal.


Top photo by Hans-Jurgen Mager on Unsplash

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