China’s mad dash for coal power continues, even as Western governments tell their citizens to make more sacrifices for “climate change.”
A report from two energy research groups on Tuesday found China has over 300 more coal power plants in the works, issuing permits for another 52 gigawatts of coal power in just the first half of 2023 alone. [emphasis, links added]
The report from Global Energy Monitor (GEM) and the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) said China doubled its commissions of coal plants in 2023, so if anything, China’s coal spree is accelerating.
The report noted that China takes a while to follow up on permits, with only about half of the plants that were permitted in 2022 under construction as of summer 2033.
The report said:
After the permitting spree of the past year, China now has 243 GW of coal-fired capacity currently permitted and under construction.
If the permitting rush is not stopped until projects that are currently announced or in pre-permit stages have gained permits as well, there will be a total of 392 GW of new coal-fired power capacity in the pipeline.
The climate change movement is usually very muted in its criticism of China, but over the past year, a few environmental organizations have begun noticing that Beijing’s coal rush is a sharp contrast to the rhetoric deployed at climate conferences.
The GEM/CREA report said it has now become effectively impossible for China to come close to its promises of peak carbon emissions in 2030 without wasting titanic sums of money by canceling many of the projects under construction.
China does not seem inclined to make any such sacrifices. In fact, the report found that China is now using coal for more than half of its electric power generation, and it is even building coal power plants in areas that do not appear to need more generator capacity:
Most of the new projects don’t meet the central government’s requirements for permitting new coal: the provinces building most new coal aren’t using it to “support” a correspondingly large buildout of clean energy; the majority of projects are in provinces that have no shortage of generating capacity to meet demand peaks; and most new project locations already have more than enough coal power to “support” existing and planned wind and solar capacity. This shows that there is no effective enforcement of the policies limiting new project permitting.
[…]
China now has 243 GW of coal power under construction and permitted. When projects currently announced or in the preparation stage but not yet permitted are included, this number rises to 392 GW. This means that coal power capacity could increase by 23% to 33% from 2022 levels, implying either a massive increase in coal power generation and emissions or a massive drop in plant utilization, implying financial losses and potentially asset stranding.
CREA lead analyst Lauri Myllyvirta clung to the rapidly dissipating hope that China still plans to keep those promises of peak carbon by 2030 and net zero emissions by 2050.
“The coal power spree is a last-minute push by China’s coal industry to lock in capacity and emissions before China’s emissions are due to peak late this decade. This is happening even as clean energy installations are rapidly expanding,” Myllyvirta told the South China Morning Post (SCMP) on Tuesday.
“As the world turns its back on new coal projects, China is making the path towards its energy transition and climate commitments more complicated and costly,” said GEM research analyst Flora Champenois, sounding a more pessimistic tone.
“Continuing to permit more coal capacity will either result in massive emissions increases or plants sitting idle, generating losses, and perpetuating the power system’s dependence on coal,” Champenois added.
The SCMP pointed out that according to the report, China is pumping out new coal plants in areas where there is no need for excess capacity to balance the installation of unreliable wind and solar power.
China often defends its coal spree by claiming it needs a surge of carbon-burning power capacity to accommodate the construction of more renewable energy plants, but that clearly is not true.
Another hope voiced by the climate change activists who scramble to make excuses for China is that local officials are ordering all these new coal plants without the knowledge of the central government, which is going to notice the coal spree any day now and order the rambunctious provincial governments to settle down.
The GEM/CREA report makes it increasingly difficult to believe in this fantasy, especially since the central Communist government is very much involved in digging, importing, and shipping the mountains of coal needed to fuel these plants.
Al Jazeera News noted that China, the world’s worst polluter by a wide margin, produces more emissions than the U.S., the European Union, and India combined, even as it builds “more solar power capacity than the entire rest of the world.”
China’s emissions increased by another ten percent last year.
Read rest at Breitbart
We don’t have the power to hold China to their commitments now and we won’t in 2030. They will not honour them. We’ll be so far behind them that we’ll answer to them.
It is rather telling that China is building more plants than their current needs, at least in some locations. They have committed to hitting a peek of their emissions in 2030. What is consistent with their actions is they will peak in their capacity by 2030, but will probably use more of the capacity after 2030.
The Conservative premier of Ontario, Doug Ford, has sounded the alarm on future shortages of electricity. We’ve been too comfortable, relying on Quebec’s hydroelectricity and our old nuclear reactors. The plan seems to be more natural gas turbo – generators and modular reactors placed beside existing nukes. Better hurry, immigrants need electricity, too.
China is showing what the rest of the world should be doing–deploying plants that use hydrocarbons to generate electricity. Coal for base power level and natural gas for marginal generation. But also we need to deploy new nuclear power plants that can be added to the base-level power.
Australia will be forced at some time to build new coal power stations because baseload will eventually be depleted to a point that the east coast will have ragular blackouts. Bowen’s renewables network won’t cope with demand 24/7 while batteries and the now infamous Snowy 2.0 do not generate electricity.
The process we see unfolding is some coal plants are closing (Liddell, Hazelwood) others are set to close in a few years, BUT – there are no new plants of any type being constructed that can replace the output of the plants closing.
24/7 electricity supply will no longer be available.
This should be telling us something, but it seems to me that no one is thinking (say) ten years out when all of what I see comes to reality and actually happens.
Col, they are not even thinking a week in advanced. My belief is that none of these people have a clue what it takes to run an electric grid and how much electricity is actually being consume while how little is produced by wind and solar. Batteries don’t create electricity but are a loss of energy as those are charged. But there is NO WAY that the number of batteries that theoretically would be needed could actually be manufactured (the minerals cannot be mined and processed to make them). Nor the additional capacity of wind and solar to charge those non-existing batteries.
Okay now show us Chinas Carbon Footprint Gore and DiCaprio’s as well as the Eco-Freaks Carbon Footprints
Has no one asked the question
“What does Beijing see that Green governments don’t see?” China isn’t worried about carbon dioxide. I already know that socialists like Trudeau envy the Chinese government’s power to get things done. It seems that China wants to raise prosperity while Western socialists aim to slow us down. Is it that our governments believe that we have it TOO GOOD?
In the 1970’s my parents had friends who thought that the middle class had it too good. Such people never voluntarily scale back their own standard of living. In the case of my parents friends they thought that the standard of living of the middle class should be reduced by more taxes.
I’ll repeat what I stated in the past about China. A woman very close to their top leadership said they don’t believe climate change is a problem. They are just going along for political reasons.
Of course the CCP doesn’t believe that whatever has changed in the climate (I haven’t really seen anything change of any significant amount) but as you say China is pretending to go along for political reasons. I would add that by pretending to go along they are getting the countries of the west (Europe, North America, Australia, …) to continue to destroy their economies by shutting down reliable energy sources (power plants, drilling for oil & natural gas) while going all in for wind, solar, EV, etc. Not only that but China is selling us that junk. To paraphrase a statement attributed to one of the Soviet leaders that we’ll buy the rope from China that they’ll use to hang us.