Global Cooling Expected For 2018…Warming Projection May Be The Great Scientific Blunder Of Modern Times

Global warming scientists continue struggling to find an explanation for the nearly two-decade-long global warming pause that has taken hold of the planet since the late 1990s.

The most recent temperature spike was due to the natural El Nino event at the equatorial Pacific, and that has disappeared over the last months. Alarmists claim that the global temperature is still 0.5°C above normal, yet it’s been that way for the past 20 years!

Cooling signs abound

The search to explain the unexpected lack of warming is about to get a little tougher as 2018 is poised to see a further cooling across the globe. Signs of this cool-off are showing up in Greenland, the Arctic, Antarctica, Greenland and all across the northern hemisphere. A huge swath of North America has started 2018 with record cold.

La Nina to persist until spring

Another major reason cooler global surface temperatures are expected in 2018 is the now strengthening La Nina event taking place as equatorial Pacific surface temperatures have plummeted by 1-2°C since June of this year. This means that global cooling lies ahead for the planet in the months ahead. The latest forecast sees La Nina conditions extending into next spring:

There is a lag of about 6 months between the ocean surface temperature and satellite global lower troposphere temperatures. That means the la Nina low forecast for January 2018, will start showing up in the temperatures by late spring (NH).

Cooling Pacific and the Indian Ocean far more significant

Alarmists also like hollering about the current unusual warmth at the poles. But veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi tweets here that the “warmth” at the poles is not what we need to be looking at, writing that “far more significant” is the cooler area from the Indian ocean through Africa, the Atlantic, South America and the Pacific.

Cooling where it’s warm and humid a bigger deal in future global temp considerations.”

In a nutshell, a cool square kilometer over the equatorial Pacific far outweighs a warm square kilometer over the North Pole. All that red coloring scientists like to use to make the poles look hot is mostly hype.

Solar activity near 200-year low

In the current solar cycle 24, sunspot activity is now at the lowest level in almost 200 years. In the early 1800s the Earth found itself in the grips of the Dalton Minimum, a cold period with similarly low solar activity:

The accumulated sunspot anomaly from the mean of the previous 23 cycles – 107 months into the cycle.

A number of distinguished scientists and dozens of scientific publications warn that the planet may, in fact, be entering a period of global cooling. There were 7 such papers in 2017 alone.

One of the great scientific blunders of modern times

The upcoming solar cycle 25 also is expected to be a weak one, which bodes ill for the planet for the next 10 to 15 years. The current solar cycle 24 is the third weakest since the systematic observation of solar cycle activity began in 1755. Only solar cycles no. 5 and 6 (1798 – 1823 during the Dalton Minimum) were weaker.

As the above chart shows, weak solar cycles are linked to cool periods and come in bunches, alternating with the warm solar cycle bunches. It’s little wonder that the last 100 years have seen a warming, as cycles 17-23 were all above normal. If the pattern holds, cycle 26, and possibly even cycle 27, will also be below normal, which points to a cooling 21st century.

Ironically, policymakers—in typical inept fashion—might be erroneously preparing societies for the completely wrong scenario and thus be unwittingly committing one of the great scientific blunders of modern times.

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Comments (6)

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    Spurwing Plover

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    Global Cooling i would sure like to see Al Bore,Leonardo DiCaprio,Bill Nye,Laurie David all stranded at Bores Tennesee estate with 10 feet or more of snow(the white stuff the New York Pravda said we would never see again)with no power and no fuel for the generator and stranded all winter long

    Reply

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    Sonnyhill

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    The scam is dead and frozen in the ditch.

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      David Lewis

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      I wish you were right. The reality is there are so many hidden political agendas dependant on the climate change movement that it is infeasible to give it up. The political movement has already been going independent of real science for a long time, and it will continue to do so.

      Reply

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    David Lewis

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    Warming projections are fraud so they can not be a scientific blunder. Going back to the very early days they calculated the warming that would result from carbon dioxide based on what they knew at the time. Their results showed warming would happen but not enough to be a problem. In order to get the results they were after a fudge factor was added. This assumed that the carbon dioxide warming would result in greater evaporation and some of this would end up in the high atmosphere. This vapor would then provide the additional green house effect for the results they were after. However, they made a mistake. This was something that could be measured and when hundreds of measurements from weather balloons showed this wasn’t happening, other fudge factors were used.

    There has been constant fraud including altering historical temperature data, “correcting” satellite data, removing ground sensors in cooler locations, altering values of ground sensors to name a few. This is not a scientific blunder.

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      Sonnyhill

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      I’m going to stick with my prediction. In the last US election, climate change was at the bottom of voters concern lists. They elected Trump. Now deniers have the pulpit. Trump will continue to tweak the Warmists noses publicly. This Arctic air confirms people’s suspicions. The weather changes as it always has and we contend with it.
      The Left has been brainwashing kids in school, now they’re getting extra holidays because it’s too cold for school. Anyone who tries to spin that to kids will be lying to them. Someday these children will read about cognitive dissonance and they’ll remember their first hand experience.
      Add China and India’s population to America’s and that’s a big chunk of the world outside of the IPCC’s grasp. New York and California can mutilate their economies if they so choose . The world will follow its normal cycle into cooling while they fall further into debt.

      Reply

  • Avatar

    Spurwing Plover

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    Its always the same Winters are Cold Summers are Hot and between there are Spring and Fall i mean like the energizer bunny it keeps on going and going and going and going

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