Climate alarmists habitually issue predictions of doom and gloom that are either too vague or too far into the future to be tested.
In a rare departure from this, alarmists have issued a prediction that can be tested within the next 30 years, or sooner.
That may be too far in the future to prevent the mad hysteria currently gripping the establishment media and political discussion, but it is much more imminent than most alarmist predictions.
Accordingly, we have a measuring stick for a hard line test for climate alarmism.
Last November, the federal government issued its fourth National Climate Assessment. The Assessment claims worsening summer heat will devastate the American farm belt.
As observed by the Chicago Tribune, “Before mid-century, the report says, Midwest agricultural productivity will slip back to levels of the 1980s.”
Climate alarmists frequently claim global warming will cause crop failures and food shortages. The predictions, however, rarely come with a definitive date and an objective measuring stick.
In this case, however, alarmists have finally given us a measuring stick, setting themselves up for failure.
Global crop production has been setting records on a near-annual basis as the planet continues its modest warming.
Longer growing seasons, fewer frost events, and more atmospheric carbon dioxide are playing a role in this.
Almost certainly, global crop production will not only fail to recede to 1980s levels but will continue to set new records far into the future.
File the Assessment’s alarmist crop prediction away. Global crop production will have to begin a precipitous decline within the next 20 years to have any hope of meeting the Assessment’s prediction for 30 years from now.
It won’t happen, and climate realists should be poised to call alarmists out on it.
Read more at CFACT
Current world corn production is 1.1 billion metric tons. That’s almost 40B bushels. The USA produces 15B bushels. The world is becoming less and less dependent on American grain because they have adopted American farm technology.
The bottom line is that the world’s food supply will be in surplus territory for decades to come. Humanity adapts well to adversity. 2 degrees of warming is just a tickle.
And according to the Eco-Freaks Earth was going to be dead by now So much for their Fragile Earth load of Malarkey
There have been measureable predictions in the past. Perhaps the best known is Al Gore’s prediction that the Arctic would be ice free in the summer by 2014. One of my favorites is there would be a 100 million climate refugees by 2010. As far as calling the alarmists out on their current prediction, that can not happen. The news media carefully censors out information on such failures.