Tropical Pacific Ocean warms while atmosphere and other oceans don’t

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the preeminent ocean temperature measuring buoy system named “ARGO,” is helping oceanographers and climate scientists answer one of the most important climate question of the decade. Why has the Pacific Ocean dramatically warmed during the last 12 months when the atmosphere hasn’t warmed in 18 years 8 months?

Figure 1. Map of worldwide ARGO Buoys Figure 1. Map of worldwide ARGO Buoys

A very important question to be sure. However, sometimes asking the proper question is more important than the answer, because properly formulated questions often lead to amazing new insights. As an example, climate scientists, politicians, and the public should actually be asking this question: Why has the tropical Pacific Ocean dramatically warmed during the last 12 months when the atmosphere and all other oceans haven’t warmed?

Lost in the rush to judge whether the currently warming Pacific Ocean and associated 2015 El Niño is atmospherically or naturally induced, many people have neglected to properly consider one other hugely important factor. None of Earth’s other oceans are warming. This is a very telling piece of information. It strengthens the likelihood that current Pacific Ocean warming is related to natural deep ocean geological forces and not man-made atmospheric warming. This article will discuss how one dataset, specifically the ARGO ocean buoy system measurements, support this contention.

The ARGO buoy system is modern, sophisticated, and very precise. It is a network of 3,881 GPS-monitored, independently operating buoys that act autonomously to vary their depth from surface to 6,000 feet while continuously recording ocean temperatures and pressures. The data is remotely sent in real time to a central computer. A quick glance at a distribution map of the worldwide position of these buoys is quite impressive (Figure 1). Wow that’s a lot of buoys!

Many universities and government agencies that have used the ARGO data to map, study, and computer model ocean temperature variations, including those associated with the emerging 2015 Pacific Ocean El Niño. The results of all this research has been presented in the media as smartly packaged scientific write-ups. Typically, these write-ups contain a very well-written storyline accompanied by colorful, precise, and supposedly definitive / “smoking gun” ARGO temperature maps.

The storyline is that the ARGO temperature maps have helped identify the hiding place of nearly twenty years of global man-made global warming, a limited geographical and ocean depth portion of the far western Pacific Ocean. Climate scientists provide the following explanation of how this 18.7 year hiding process worked:

Heat energy from years of man-made atmospheric warming from every region of Earth has somehow been continuously captured and concentrated.

Concurrently the energy has been transported from every atmospheric region on earth by an unknown process to a limited geographical portion of the western Pacific Ocean where it has resided at a constant ocean depth interval of 900-1,800 feet for 18.7 years.

Finally, for reasons not well understood, this energy / heat stock pile has decided it’s now time to move east and fuel the 2015 El Niño.

This man-made global warming explanation lacks credibility for many reasons as documented in several previous CCD write-ups. This article will address one additional reason, misinterpretation of the ARGO buoy system dataset temperatures.

Let’s start by taking a different look at the geographical distribution of ARGO buoys, a more rigorous mathematical look. The oceans cover 139,700,000 square miles of earth and there are 3,881 buoys. This equates to one buoy every 36,000 square miles. That doesn’t sound like a lot because it isn’t. Then it gets worse.

The oceans can be divided into three district depth ranges; shallow, mid-level and deep. So there are therefore three times 139.7 million square miles of area to measure with 3,881 buoys. This equates to 108,000 square miles per buoy. Lastly, many deep-ocean geological heat and fluid sources are…well deep. Most, but not all, are located at depths greater than 6,000 feet which is beneath the ARGO Buoy depth capability.

Given these ARGO depth and spacing restrictions it’s easy to understand why climate scientists attempting to locate heat flow sources for the warming Pacific Ocean have never considered geological point sources. They can’t directly measure / image their temperature fingerprint. Stated another way typical fixed limited-area geological heat sources are at depths greater than 6,000 feet and occupy an area less than 10,000 square miles (100 x 100 miles), making it difficult to directly measure their affect.

However there is a very reliable way to use the ARGO data to discern the indirect affect of the smaller and deeper geological heat areas. The ARGO buoy system data does clearly show the smeared “effect” of a deep-ocean limited-area geological heat point sources in the shallow Sea Surface Temperature (SST) maps (Figure 2.). As the heat from a geological point source is moved laterally and dispersed outward and upward by ocean current, the heat signature will appear as a well-defined cone-shaped anomaly that points back to the region of the deep geological heat point source (Figure 2.). Realizing that this pattern represents a deep-fixed geological heat point source has not been given proper consideration by atmospherically biased climate scientists. You can never see what you are not looking for.

Figure 2)  April 2015 Pacific Ocean Shallow Sea Surface (SST) temperature map. Anomalously warmed areas are shown in dark red and orange. Regional shallow sea surface current flow of the Pacific Ocean is from west to east. The location of the anomalously warm temperatures is a small deep ocean area east of New Guinea and is marked as the “Heat Point Source” on the map.Figure 2) April 2015 Pacific Ocean Shallow Sea Surface (SST) temperature map. Anomalously warmed areas are shown in dark red and orange. Regional shallow sea surface current flow of the Pacific Ocean is from west to east. The location of the anomalously warm temperatures is a small deep ocean area east of New Guinea and is marked as the “Heat Point Source” on the map.

Importantly, current ARGO maps of the remaining oceans does not show significant temperature variations / patterns that compare in magnitude or intensity to the Pacific Ocean anomaly. Why? If the atmosphere is warming as contended by climate scientists advocating the theory of global warming, wouldn’t some of that atmospheric heat energy hide in another ocean? If so, it’s doing a very good job hiding, because it does not show up on any ARGO generated SST maps. The absence of significant heating anomalies in other oceans is taken here as yet another piece of solid evidence that the 2015 Pacific Ocean El Niño is geological in nature.

Truly understanding the vastness of the world’s oceans is difficult to conceive, especially in an era of high tech communication, over-population, and the ease of worldwide travel. There is actually more dry land on the surface of our moon than there is on our planet. All of us incorrectly assume that every inch of earth has been explored, mapped, and defined. It hasn’t.

The world’s oceans are like another planet. Only 1% of the oceans have been properly explored and viewed with human eyes. It should come as no surprise that the forces controlling the oceans are virtually unknown. Sure, we get remote sensing glimpses of these forces now and then, but a clear view…no way! This includes the ARGO buoy dataset.

The Pacific Ocean is warming, but the atmosphere and all other oceans are not. Why? The answer has been hidden from view by our inability to consider non-atmospheric heat sources.

James Edward Kamis is a Geologist and AAPG member of 41 years and who has always been fascinated by the connection between Geology and Climate. Years of research / observation have convinced him that the Earth’s Heat Flow Engine, which drives the outer crustal plates, is also an important driver of the Earth’s climate.

REFERNCES

http://www.argo.ucsd.edu/How_Argo_floats.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argo_(oceanography)

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Comments (19)

  • Avatar

    Me

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    They don’t want to ask questions that undermines their narrative, just ones that support it, examples of this can be seen on how they make their polls and then later use it to claim consensus.

  • Avatar

    Al Shelton

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    Since when does the atmosphere warm the ocean?

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    StuartL

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    If the heat was going into the oceans, it would show up on the sea level trends, which it hasn’t

  • Avatar

    Amber

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    Natural variables that influence climate trump the minuscule influence of CO2 yet the global warming cheer leaders try to paint the opposite picture .
    Even when the portion of CO2 from humans increases as it has it still registers a fraction of 1% . Not exactly the tail wagging the dog. Yet that is exactly what the public is supposed to believe .
    No wonder the jackasses promoting the scam want to silence anyone that dares to disagree with them and their false propaganda .

    In any event let’s hope warming continues because every degree increase brings more benefits than the status quo or cooling .

    People that think humans are going to control earth’s temperature in a fashion they like are nuts .

    • Avatar

      Me

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      Amber, here is the thing to remember, 1%= 10,000 PPM or mg/l. And you can’t get more than 100% although we hear the saying of giving 110% all the time. Yea they can express a percentage to make it scarier than it is, but 100% is it, nothing more, and 0% on the other side, nothing less.

      • Avatar

        Me

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        It is the same as saying 100%=1,000,000 parts, hence the term of parts per million if the parts are less than 1 million. And that PPM is the same as mgl or mgkg.

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          Me

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          Now when you hear that a substance is 400% over the limit. What some are doing are saying it’s 400% is because it sounds scarier than just saying it was over by 4 times. It’s like they made a regulation to set a limit. If that limit was 1 PPM and it was tested and retested and the result was 4 PPM, it was over by 4 times the regulation, but there are those out there not satisified with saying 4 times. That sounds like a small number. But 400 now you are talking attention grabber. And that is hou they play THE GAME!

          • Avatar

            Me

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            And when it really comes down to dangerous substances, then there are TVL and STEL.

          • Avatar

            Me

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            Sorry, that should be TLV and STEL.

    • Avatar

      Me

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      So when you see Tony Hiller talking about mole fraction of CO2 he is correct.
      But when he complains about being censored at such and such site, he should remember he did that to me and I was one that supported him. But apparently I didn’t support every one of his pet peeves. So you know what happens to those that question athority when they gain popularity.

      • Avatar

        Me

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        And he isn’t half as bad as the warmist camp, they just outright censor if they don’t like what you are saying.

        • Avatar

          Me

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          But Suyts Space never censored me yet! Good Christian guy although I have pushed his buttons. I never intended to do that, I liked him and still do, but for some reason the person that got me banned from tony’s was welcomed just because religious beliefs. Doesn’t matter what they did.

          • Avatar

            Me

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            So there was a story here about asking the right questions not so long ago. Now do you see, or blinded by the faith?

          • Avatar

            Me

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            Here is a hint! look up! 😀

          • Avatar

            Me

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            Case, point and noted! 😀

          • Avatar

            Me

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            Gator was too busy so he says?!?!?! Remember that?????? Nothing to do about religion???!?!? 😀

          • Avatar

            Gator

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            Me, what have I done to harm you? I have never asked anything of you except civility, and yet for some unknown reason I find myself attacked by you over and over again.

            And yes, I have been extremely busy with a new job and related projects. That is the [i]only[/i] reason why I have not been commenting as much of late.

            See if you can stay on topic, and stop the childish rants.

  • Avatar

    arationofreason

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    Is this ‘heat source region’ known to be unusually seismically active?
    I know a fault runs through that area of the pacific.

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