Global Temps Already On Pace to Meet Goals of Paris Accord

Kerry signing climate accord.

The Paris Accord’s overriding goal is to limit global warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by 2100. And if possible, the accord would like to “pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels.” To do that, countries like the U.S. would have to dramatically reduce their carbon dioxide emissions and still remain competitive.

Modern temperature record keeping essentially starts in 1880 (with the advent of thermometers). And since that time, global temperatures have climbed by roughly 0.7 degrees Celsius. Therefore, in order to stay within the two degree Celsius warming target, global temperatures can’t climb by more than another 1.3 degrees Celsius by 2100.

Some great news then: Global climate is already on track to stay under the 2-degree mark.

Here’s how the math works out. Satellite readings of global temperatures show that the current rate of warming (from 1979 to present) is 0.135 degrees Celsius per decade.

Extrapolated from now through 2100, this translates to future warming of 1.12 degrees Celsius over the next 83 years. And so, added to the 0.7 degrees observed since 1880, this totals 1.82 degrees Celsius from 1880-2100.

So, congratulations to Planet Earth. By simply doing nothing from now on, global climate temperatures will meet the goals of the Paris Accord.

That means all the massive decarbonization plans—that would hurt millions of working class Americans, and forfeit the lives of hundreds of millions of people in the developing world—are simply unnecessary.

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Comments (2)

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    Spurwing Plover

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    This entire Paris Accord needs to be trashed its based upon junk science and the mindless ramblings of the eco- nutcases and its nothing but a push for World Goverment and look who the kid is with John(Aircontioners more dangerous then terrorists)Kerry a real nutcase

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    David Lewis

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    This is totally invalid for the climate change movement. It never has been about limiting warming. The climate change movement is about multiple hidden agendas that they hope to achieve by forcing decarburization of our world. People like Obama wanted to use it to expand the size and power of government. The communists want to use it to destroy free enterprise. A defector from a liberal think tank said his group wants to use it to de-industrialize America. Many liberals in Europe what to use it as an excuse to transfer the wealth of developed nations to developing nations. Environmentalists want to use it for many things such as forcing people out of cars and into public transportation. Renewable energy companies want to use it to force the purchase of their very expensive energy.

    The fact that the do nothing approach achieves the goals of the Paris agreement means noting to these people. They will continue to push for drastic mandatory reduction in carbon dioxide emissions.

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