A Nature study finds there’s very little risk that global warming would lead to more methane escaping from the oceans into the atmosphere.
Global warming alarmists have often used the scenario of increased methane in the atmosphere accelerating warming and climatic change.
But a recent study appearing in Nature, Negligible atmospheric release of methane from decomposing hydrates in mid-latitude oceans, dumps a lot of cold water on this scenario. [emphasis, links added]
This is good news, which unfortunately the media refused to report.
At the bottom of the sea, there are large deposits of naturally occurring methane hydrate. There’s a fear that these ice-like deposits could melt and be released into the atmosphere if the oceans warmed.
Methane is a far more powerful greenhouse gas than CO2. The researchers looked at the concentration and natural radiocarbon content of methane dissolved in the water column from the seafloor to the sea surface at seep fields along the US Atlantic and Pacific margins.
No methane reached the surface
Their measurements revealed no evidence of seep CH4 (methane) reaching surface waters when the water-column depth is greater than 430 ± 90 m.
“Gas hydrates exist only at water depths greater than ~550 m in this region, suggesting that the source of methane escaping to the atmosphere is not from hydrate decomposition,” the authors add.
Dissolves in the ocean
In 2016, a paper published in the Reviews of Geophysics concluded that the annual emissions of methane to the ocean from degrading gas hydrates are far smaller than greenhouse gas emissions…from human activities and that most of the methane released by gas hydrates never even reaches the atmosphere.
The methane often remains in the undersea sediments, dissolves in the ocean, or is converted to carbon dioxide by microbes.
Oceans retain virtually all the methane
The authors explain how methane sinks are increasingly incorporated into numerical models of climate-hydrate interactions as knowledge becomes better established.
“Models are beginning to acknowledge that most CH4 bubbles emitted at the seafloor at water depths deeper than a few tens of meters will retain little or no methane by the time they reach the near-surface mixed layer, meaning that the primary repository of methane liberated by gas hydrate dissociation within any deepwater marine reservoir will be the ocean, not the atmosphere [e.g., Biastoch et al., 2011],” the authors summarized.
Read more at No Tricks Zone
When alarmists talk about tripping points, the release of methane from sequestered sources is one of them, perhaps the most common. Tripping points are an ideal why to support their narrative because it is a predicted future event, unlike claiming an increase in extreme weather events which isn’t happening. Fifteen years ago I was reading about the predicted tripping point from methane being released from permafrost. That didn’t happen. We need to remember that the earth was warmer during the Medieval Warm Period and Roman Warm Period. If tripping points were not triggered then, they won’t be triggered now.
Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas in the lab, however it’s absorbs IR energy in pretty much the same wavelengths as water vapour. Since water vapour is far more common in the atmosphere these absorption bands are pretty much totally saturated so adding more methane to the atmosphere will have very little impact.