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Coffee Bean Apocalypse Called Off As Surplus Sends Prices Tumbling

by Thomas Richard, CCD Editor
July 10, 2019, 10:17 AM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
5

coffee beans roastedFor years, the mainstream media was predicting a coffee bean apocalypse caused by climate change. In 2018, the SF Gate reported:

It turns out that coffee is the latest food item to be under threat due to the rise of global temperatures.

In a recent study, it was found that 80 percent of areas in Brazil and Central America that grow Arabica coffee will not be able to carry on growing those beans by 2050 if current temperature trends continue. Internationally, that decline is estimated to be 50 percent, resulting in a spike in prices and a drop in production.

And in 2015, Bloomberg reported that a “global coffee shortage was looming” as the “market braced for climate change.”

The coffee-drinking world needs another Brazil, the world’s top grower and exporter of the beans if it’s to avoid a shortage.

Rising consumption, especially in emerging markets, means global production will have to rise by an extra 40 million to 50 million bags of coffee in the next decade, said Andrea Illy, the chairman, and chief executive officer of Illycafe SpA, a roaster based in Trieste, Italy. That’s more than the entire crop of Brazil.

Now we’re drowning in too much coffee (must be all that CO2 that plants love) while demand for anything with caffeine surges. Even in Central America, where pandering Democrats tell us climate change is decimating the area, they’re overproducing too much coffee. From City AM:

A record seasonal surplus of beans being produced pushed down coffee futures to their lowest levels in more than a decade during April, with a rise in demand for caffeinated drinks failing to stem the plummeting prices.

In Brazil, the world’s largest producer of coffee, a surge in production of arabica and robusta beans, as well as a weak currency, has led to a dramatic oversupply of the commodity within the world market, putting downward pressure on prices.

Producers in traditional coffee heartlands in Central America, Colombia and Ethiopia have been reportedly considering to call time on the coffee business in the wake of the price slump, sparking fears for the future of the industry and local economies.

“C” arabica futures, one benchmark for global coffee prices, tumbled 29 percent from October 2018 to April, when they hit a 13-and-a-half year low, according to IHS Markit’s Agribusiness Intelligence.

Meanwhile, coffee production rose to a record 174.6m bags of 60-kilogram beans during the current season, marking an eight percent rise on the previous year.

Anytime experts tell you that climate change will cause X to happen, make book on the exact opposite occurring.

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Comments 5

  1. Spurwing Plover says:
    7 years ago

    There are now some Bird Friendly Coffee you can find mean that cup of Joe can help protect Birds in South America

    Reply
  2. David Lewis says:
    7 years ago

    My doctor recently told me that I can have coffee again. I’ll do my best to help with the surplus.

    We can add the Coffee Bean Apocalypse to dozens of other alarmist predictions that didn’t come true.

    The Apocalyptic articles that I read based their prediction on RCP 8.5, the worst case climate model that most climate activists do not believe will come true. Why make predictions on a model that most people don’t believe in? It is because the people doing so are in reality producing nothing more than propaganda to support political agendas.

    Reply
  3. Rhee says:
    7 years ago

    Good thing I made a second cup this morning, maybe have a third to celebrate??? B-)

    Reply
  4. Spurwing Plover says:
    7 years ago

    Well according to the Crack-Pots back in the 1960’s and 1970’s we should,nt even be around anymore and the whole Planet would be dead looks like the Cracked-Urns were wrong like they have been before but the M.S. Media still listens to them and parrots their lies on a daily bases

    Reply
  5. Shoki Kaneda says:
    7 years ago

    If someone self-identifies as an “expert”, ignore them.

    Reply

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