Sandy beaches are much less vulnerable to rising seas than was claimed in a recent European Commission study which caused “unnecessary alarm”, research has found.
Beaches will survive by migrating landwards as the sea level rises as long as they are given space to move and not impeded by sea walls and other structures on the coast, the research shows.
The new findings contradict claims made in March in a study by the commission’s joint research center, which supplies scientific evidence to guide EU policy.
The study was publicized with a press release headlined “Climate Change: Life’s a (disappearing) beach”.
It claimed that half of the world’s beaches could disappear by the end of the century under current trends in climate change and sea-level rise.
The study also suggested that rising seas could wipe out almost 1,000 miles of sandy beaches in the UK by 2100.
SEE ALSO: Earth Is GAINING Land Despite Warming-Fueled Sea Level Rise, Study finds
But scientists from 12 universities around the world, including Ulster University and the University of Plymouth, re-examined the data and methodology that underpinned the study and found it was based on flawed computer models and an “arbitrary and unjustified” assumption about the fate of beaches as shorelines moved.
They have published a strongly worded rebuttal to the study in the same journal, Nature Climate Change, in which it appeared.
They say its conclusions are not just wrong but could result in “economically and environmentally disastrous” solutions being implemented.
Read more at The Times ($)
THE EARTH IS NOT FRAGILE AND NATURE IS NOT DELICATLY BALANCED
“But scientists from 12 universities around the world, including Ulster University and the University of Plymouth, re-examined the data and methodology that underpinned the study and found it was based on flawed computer models and an “arbitrary and unjustified” assumption about the fate of beaches as shorelines moved.”
“…flawed computer models…” Your model is flawed, while all of ours are perfect.
I’m assuming that the “respectable journal” did a “peer-review” on the article prior to publication – if so at least several reviewers thought the study had some merit.
Where were these researchers when the ‘hockey stick’ graph was first published?
It just pedend’s unpon who ever is programing the computer on the Internet Al Gore the Bore said he created or invented
I’m pretty certain that the sea levels have risen in the distant past and that we still have beaches despite this…