Climate alarmists are pinning specific extreme weather events on global warming, insisting they would have “almost no chance of happening without human-induced climate change.”
“The planet is showing signs it’s in peril,” declares a Reuters article Thursday.
“In recent weeks, the world has seen ferocious wildfires in the U.S. West, torrential rains in Africa, weirdly warm temperatures on the surface of tropical oceans, and record heat waves from California to the Siberian Arctic.”
Whereas in recent years, certain circumspection prevented scientists from attributing specific weather events to climate change, that is starting to change, the article reveals.
Event attribution — or the ability to accurately link a given weather phenomenon to manmade global warming — has been considered exceedingly risky at best and completely unreliable at worst, even according to true believers.
At a meeting of climate scientists at Oxford in 2012, one participant argued that, given the insufficient observational data and the coarse and mathematically imperfect climate models used to generate attribution claims, they are “unjustifiably speculative, basically unverifiable and better not made at all.”
Nature Magazine felt compelled to conclude at the time that “better models are needed before exceptional events can be reliably linked to global warming.”
Apparently, some alarmists feel that that time has finally arrived.
“We are seeing the emergence of some signals that would have had almost no chance of happening without human-induced climate change,” Sonia Seneviratne, a climate scientist at Swiss university ETH Zurich, told Reuters.
“What seemed like an established truth that you cannot attribute a particular extreme weather event to climate change is less and less true,” she added.
Not all scientists agree, of course.
“Extreme event attribution can tell us whether global warming made an event more likely or more severe, but it can’t tell us if global warming ‘caused’ an event in a yes-or-no sort of way,” states the official website of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
One of the central problems with extreme event attribution is that it is based on models and simulations rather than on observation and fact.
Since it deals in probabilities rather than direct, measurable causality, it provides no scientific proof of causality and will always require belief.
Skeptics of extreme event attribution will always point to historical climatic shifts — some of them massive — as well as past extreme weather events and ask the question: how was that possible before humans began emitting greenhouse gases in any significant way?
Another question is why only certain extreme weather phenomena are not increasing but are staying stable or diminishing.
In late August, well-known climate activist Michael Shellenberger reported that hurricanes are not increasing in frequency and that “deaths from natural disasters are at their lowest point in 120 years.”
Contrary to much of the hype found in mainstream media, Mr. Shellenberger — a Time magazine Hero of the Environment and winner of the 2008 Green Book Award — wrote in Forbes that “hurricanes, floods, and other natural disasters aren’t getting worse. They’re getting better. Much better.”
Last June, Shellenberger caused a stir when he issued a public apology on behalf of climate scientists and environmentalists for contributing to panic over the supposed horrors of global warming.
On behalf of environmentalists everywhere, “I would like to formally apologize for the climate scare we created over the last 30 years,” he wrote.
As an Expert Reviewer for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), “I feel an obligation to apologize for how badly we environmentalists have misled the public,” Shellenberger wrote.
In his essay, Shellenberger listed the 12 climate “myths” that have been etched into the modern psyche, but which have no basis in scientific fact.
“Humans are not causing a ‘sixth mass extinction,’” he wrote; the Amazon “is not ‘the lungs of the world,’” and climate change “is not making natural disasters worse.”
“Fires have declined 25% around the world since 2003,” he noted, and the amount of land we currently use for meat “has declined by an area nearly as large as Alaska.”
Seeing how terrified and completely misguided people have become about the reality of climate change, Shellenberger issued an extended formal apology for environmentalist “fear-mongering” in the form of a book, Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All.
Read more at Breitbart
Face it the Eco-Freaks want to keep us afraid and in fear knowing that it will lead us into poverty they want America to become part of the North American(Soviet)Union its the plans of the UN the Globalists and the Demcrats
I stubbed my toe this morning. Climate change made me do it!
Wow, ignorance and stupidity to the extreme. If any of these morons ever bothered to learn to read or engage their brains before opening their mouths they may not look or sound so utterly ridiculous. A couple of examples of thousands as follows, the Great Storm 1703 in Britain that sank huge numbers of ships that include quite a few British Navy vessels with high loss of life, prolonged flooding, huge damage. Then there was the St Lucia’s Flood that drowned up to 80,000 people in the Netherlands in 1287. The nightmare was the result of a huge storm. There are huge numbers of horrifying natural weather events these idiots totally ignore. Obviously cannot even use Google to check anything.
Americas deadlists Hurricane his Galveston in 1900 long before many of h us were born and when our Grandparents were young
“Climate alarmists are pinning specific extreme weather events on global warming”
They should learn about internal climate variability.
https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/07/16/the-internal-variability-issue/
The propaganda effort to keep CC foremost in people’s minds has devolved into a tawdry political cartoon incapable of persuasive value.
James Zachos, distinguished professor of Earth and planetary sciences, University of California, Santa Cruz stated recently, “As we reconstructed past climates, we could see long-term coarse changes quite well. We also knew there should be finer-scale rhythmic variability due to orbital variations, but for a long time it was considered impossible to recover that signal Now that we have succeeded in capturing the natural climate variability, we can see that the projected anthropogenic warming will be much greater than that.”
And so it continues. During the early Eocene, there were no polar ice caps, and average global temperatures were 9 to 14 degrees Celsius higher than today, but tomorrow this will return because of humanity. The crystal ball of climate modelling has spoken. Place your coins in the fortune teller’s palm as you leave to do your penance.