In the final days of 2019, there is much to reflect upon events of the past year and, with the closing of the second decade of the 21st century, much to reflect upon how climate change alarmism has itself alarmingly morphed into something much more dangerous, visceral, urgent, ideologically driven and immediate as regards public perception and societal impact.
A decade during which global warming faded into obscurity (on account of the fact that there wasn’t any from 1998-2013) to be replaced almost universally by the more politically correct term of ‘climate change’, which has itself now been largely displaced in activist circles and the media by the terms ‘climate emergency’ and ‘climate crisis’.
Ironically so, because, bereft of an actual climate crisis, alarmist scientists and activists have proceeded to invent one, linguistically, as in the case of the Guardian’s newly introduced style guide and by co-opting extreme weather events and their impacts into the general narrative.
In the absence also of any observably catastrophic global rise in temperature throughout the 21st century (which not even ‘pause-busting’ adjustments to temperature data could conjure up), alarmists have turned to inventing imminent future catastrophes via the invocation of highly speculative ‘tipping points’ which supposedly will be ‘triggered’ at imaginary and entirely ad hoc global warming thresholds (1.5C, 2C, 3C, etc. relative to pre-industrial baseline).
They have also increasingly employed the highly unrealistic ‘business as usual’ scenario RCP8.5 to supercharge their global warming projections in order to manufacture climate alarmist narratives in the media, a strategy which only in the last couple of months has started to be seriously questioned.
Roger Pielke Jr has recently been at the vanguard of the movement to expose the misuse of this nightmarishly unrealistic scenario as ‘business as usual’:
The decade started off with the climate science community desperately trying to salvage some shred of credibility from the fallout of climategate.
In the event, they never managed – they just airbrushed over the warts and manufactured official-looking false exonerations of their appalling behavior, bordering on scientific fraud in some cases.
Having done this, they carried on regardless – ‘business as usual’ you might say. With the RCP8.5 debacle, due to be now carried over (with interest) into the ‘new, improved’ SSP/CMIP6 fantasy couplings, one can see that nothing has changed.
Bad practice and dodgy science are still rewarded with lavish grants if the message remains still that ‘It’s time to panic!’.
Judith Curry has written an excellent push back article to the lukewarm attempt by Wallace-Wells, among others, to dial down the alarmist hype in the light of the RCP8.5 criticisms, whilst still maintaining the necessary ‘scary’ projections of future warming.
Read more at Climate Scepticism
Great writing. Hope everyone reads it and catches on.
I see where Biden wants al oil executives put on Trail over this whole Global Warming/Climate Change scam this nit-wit ges even more rediculous each day soon he will be telling us there little tribe of plaid men living on the moon
From Bertrand Russell :
‘The whole problem with the world is that the fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves and wiser people so full of doubt’
Here’s some accurate and heretical science, the best kind.
Because of the non-radiative heat transfer processes of a contiguous participating media, i.e. conduction, convection, advection and latent energy from the atmospheric molecules, 0.97 emissivity ideal black body long wave radiation from the earth’s surface is not possible.
That means:
No 396 W/m^2 “extra” energy upwelling from the surface
+
No 333 W/m^2 “extra” energy perpetual looping from cold to hot without work
+
No GHG warming
No man caused climate change or global warming.
It’s that simple.
It’s all science.
It’s backed up by classical science experiments.
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/nicholas-schroeder-55934820_climatechange-climate-science-activity-6611673792517337088-VTCm
https://principia-scientific.org/debunking-the-greenhouse-gas-theory-with-a-boiling-water-pot/
Want energy then rig up a stationary bike to a generator and start peddling away while the kids watch some mindless enviromental propeganda on TV
The article is wrong in one minor detail. It stated that RCP8.5 has only been seriously questioned in the last few months. I have closely following this issue for years and of the alarmists with technical knowledge many if not most realize that RCP8.5 is an over statement. Consider just one assumption that it makes, that world wide coal use will increase by ten fold. However, those writing scary reports for the media always use RCP8.5 because it provides support for the far left political goals.
Going from climate change to climate crisis may back fire. If there is a crisis, we expect to see obvious indications. These would include half of your friends being unemployed, Nazis dropping bombs, for a certain region the eruption of a volcano. There is nothing like that with climate change.