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How Activists And Flawed Data Created The Illusion Of A Climate Apocalypse

Climatologist exposes climate science's biggest lie.

by Dr. Matthew Wielicki
May 07, 2025, 1:26 PM
in Media, News and Opinion, Politics, Science, Waste and Fraud
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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tree rings
Introduction: Unmasking a Climate Myth

One of the most influential and deceptive climate graphics circulating today did not originate in any peer-reviewed scientific publication.

Instead, after a thorough investigation, I traced its roots to a 2018 activist document titled “Don’t Mention the Emergency?“ published by the Climate Emergency Declaration group. [emphasis, links added]

On page 7 of this document, a graphic dramatically juxtaposes heavily smoothed temperature proxy reconstructions with modern instrumental temperature data, falsely presenting today’s warming as unprecedented and alarming.

Source

Further investigation revealed that this misleading graphic was inspired by a 2013 blog post, “The two epochs of Marcott” from OurChangingClimate.

Source

This blog relied heavily on the Marcott et al. (2013) reconstruction, which explicitly warned about significant limitations in its data:

“We showed that no temperature variability is preserved in our reconstruction at cycles shorter than 300 years, 50% is preserved at 1000 year time scales, and nearly all is preserved at 2000 year periods and longer.”

Despite Marcott’s clear admission of these critical limitations, climate activists, media, and even the IPCC repeatedly employ distorted visualizations of this reconstruction, fueling unjustified alarmism.

Why have the authors and the IPCC remained silent when confronted with such blatant misuse of their data?

My Investigations into Climate Data Manipulation

In previous detailed analyses, I’ve exposed similar deceptive practices, highlighting fundamental flaws and intentional oversights in climate reconstructions.

In one piece, I revealed how smoothing techniques erase natural climate variability, artificially inflating perceived modern warming.

Another investigation critically examined speleothem proxies from Moondyne Cave in Australia, emphasizing severe discrepancies between proxy-derived temperature records and instrumental measurements.

These inconsistencies question the reliability of widely cited climate reconstructions.

I have also systematically evaluated proxy limitations: spanning ice cores, tree rings, corals, paleosols, and plant stomata, revealing substantial uncertainties and inherent inaccuracies undermining confident claims about historical climate conditions.

This comprehensive analysis consistently demonstrates that proclamations of unprecedented warming rely on deeply flawed interpretations of proxy data.

Understanding Climate Proxy Reconstructions

Climate proxy reconstructions use natural archives, such as tree rings, ice cores, coral growth, and cave formations (speleothems) to estimate past climate conditions before modern instruments.

These methods typically involve measuring stable isotopes, chemical compositions, or growth patterns influenced by environmental factors. However, proxies inherently smooth out short-term climate fluctuations, preserving mainly long-term trends.

Marcott’s reconstruction, for example, relies on sediment cores and ice core isotopic data, which are aggregated and statistically smoothed, removing variability shorter than 300 years.

Thus, today’s short-term warming appears artificially exaggerated when compared directly to these heavily smoothed historical datasets.

Who Profits from Climate Alarmism?

The persistent distortion of climate data is not merely accidental… it is actively incentivized. Organizations like the IPCC, significantly funded by government agencies, environmental activist groups, and private foundations, have vested interests in perpetuating a narrative of crisis.

The silence from researchers whose work is frequently misrepresented, such as Marcott, often reflects dependency on continued funding, creating a cycle perpetuating misinformation.

This systemic bias compromises scientific objectivity, transforming science into advocacy rather than unbiased investigation.

Top photo by Femke Schreurs on Unsplash


Irrational Fear is written by climatologist Dr. Matthew Wielicki and is reader-supported. If you value what you have read here, please consider subscribing and supporting the work that goes into it.

Read rest at Irrational Fear

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  1. Spurwing Plover says:

    The Real Person Badge!

    The commenter acts as a real person and verified as not a bot. Passed all tests against spam bots. Anti-Spam by CleanTalk.
    1 month ago

    The Only Climate Emergency is that the Climate Change nutcases are not getting enough money to waste on their Pet Projects

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      • Should We Celebrate Carbon Dioxide?
      • The Skeptics Handbook
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      • Why I’m a GW skeptic
      • Winning the climate debate with facts
      • Why Aliens Cause Global Warming
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      • How much have temps changed?
      • How much have temps changed?
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