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Why Do Democrats Keep Getting Their Climate Doomsday Predictions Wrong?

by Varun Hukeri
February 28, 2021, 2:02 PM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 3 mins read
A A
4

sea rise disasterFor more than 50 years, members of the scientific community and environmental movement have made climate-change predictions that ultimately turned out to be incorrect.

Many of these predictions have been embraced by prominent Democrats over the years.

President Joe Biden’s climate czar John Kerry is the latest Democrat to promote predictions of impending global disaster. He said during an appearance last week on “CBS This Morning” that the world only has nine years left to avert a climate catastrophe.

That number was based on a 2018 projection that global temperature increases would become irreversible by 2030.

There is a scientific consensus that points to climate change and the contributing role of human activity.

But what remains unclear is the extent to which human activity contributes to climate change and whether the level of emissions is a “proven threat,” according to the Heartland Institute.

The Biden administration is proposing aggressive climate reforms with the goal of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050. But lingering questions about climate change and the lengthy track record of incorrect predictions from Democrats and environmentalists could make it difficult for the administration to sell its agenda.

“Democrats have been getting their predictions so wrong for 30 years because they don’t understand climate science,” Heartland Institute vice president Jim Lakely said in a statement to the Daily Caller.

Competitive Enterprise Institute environmental director Myron Ebell and former Trump transition team member Steve Milloy compiled 27 instances of incorrect climate predictions by Democrats and scientists over 50 years in a report last December.

One such prediction was made by the former vice president and prominent climate activist Al Gore in 2009, who had suggested during a United Nations climate conference that the polar ice cap over the Arctic Ocean would disappear by 2014, USA Today reported.

Another report published last year by Milloy compiled 10 instances of incorrect climate predictions that were supposed to take place in 2020.

A prediction made by the U.S. Geological Survey in 2009 during the Obama administration claimed glaciers in Montana’s Glacier National Park would disappear entirely by 2020. The agency later took back its prediction in 2017 and began removing signs that warned of melting glaciers, CNN reported last year.

“One need only go to Glacier National Park and view the locations where the Obama administration maintained signs saying the glaciers would be gone by 2020,” Heartland Institute president James Taylor said in a statement to the Caller. “The signs are gone, the glaciers are still there.”

One reason why climate change predictions are consistently incorrect could be because the climate models and data such predictions rely on are often exaggerated or misrepresented.

A 2018 peer-reviewed study published in the American Meteorological Society’s scientific journal concluded that climate models can exaggerate the climate change impact from emissions by as much as 45%.

“The predictions made by global climate models of the future global mean temperature have been falsified by the data,” Ebell said in a statement to the Caller. “Continuing reliance on the models is not science, it’s propaganda.”

“Aside from the fact that Earth’s climate is far too complicated to be predicted to the degree of accuracy claimed by climate alarmists, they base their work on exaggerations of carbon dioxide’s effect on global warming,” CO2 Coalition executive director Greg Wrightstone said in a statement to the Caller.

Democrats and environmentalists today continue to promote the study warning of a potential climate catastrophe in 2030.

New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortezclaimed the “world is gonna end in 12 years” during an event in 2019. Swedish activist Greta Thunberg has used the study to advocate for aggressive climate action.

“Self-anointed ‘climate experts’ get their predictions wrong because the predictions are not scientific in nature,” Milloy told the Caller. “They wrongly imagine their predictions are science. They’re not. Until our ‘climate experts’ develop a track record of being correct, no attention should be paid to them.”

Read more at Daily Caller

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Comments 4

  1. Dave of Reedy Creek, Qld. Aus. says:
    5 years ago

    An interesting article that leaves me with a few questions, One: has any extreme predictions ever come to pass? I have followed Global Cooling/Global Warming/Climate Change/Climate Emergency for a long time and have not really ever heard of one of those Doomsday events taking place. Two: I am formerly from the New England area of NSW which has fairly frosty mornings in winter and blistering hot days in summer. In our town of Inverell we had summer temperatures in 1994 of 43 to 45C degrees that have “disappeared” over time, yet my family and I lived those days. In the winter of 1984 we had a frost of -13C. yet it has “disappeared too! Funny thing though, even if records ‘disappear’ we survived the massive temperature shift in our hometown. That is a swing of 53C; yet we survived. I think the cold killed some small animals but most survived. Now they are having mass hysteria over 1 or 2 degrees change and some extra plant food in the air. They are really having us on!

    Reply
  2. Chaamjamal says:
    5 years ago

    Maybe the get their predictions from the UN
    https://wp.me/pTN8Y-6ux

    Reply
  3. Spurwing Plover says:
    5 years ago

    You would half to fire Biden would hire that screwball John Kerry as his climate Czar after all Kerry has thing against Air Conditioners I mean Biden just has to stop by the Nut House for the members of his Cabinet

    Reply
  4. Gumnut says:
    5 years ago

    A sixteen-year-old is suing the Australian government, as one of a group of teens assisted by an elderly nun, for failing to act on climate change.

    The girl is concerned that coal usage will harm her relatives back in India. The idea of many Indians not having electricity does not seem to bother her much at all.

    Maybe she believes every word of the climate change videos she’s been watching for half of her life. If so, the possibility that renewables won’t power the Indian poor out of poverty probably won’t occur to her. Neither will the possibility that the climate claims of these videos could be scaremongering.

    Indeed, the veracity of doomsday predictions do not seem to matter much. Righting the record once a claim is proven to be false simply does not happen. Fact-checking may be all the rage these days, but it is merely a propaganda tool, and is thus indistinguishable from the alarmist material itself.

    No doubt, this girl has been inspired by Greta Thunberg. Maybe she would be better off being inspired by Galileo.

    Reply

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