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Prophets Of Doom: Why A New 2024 Climate Report Is Fueled By Fear, Not Facts

Why a new 2024 climate report is more about fear than facts.

by Dr. Matthew Wielicki
October 09, 2024, 1:33 PM
in Agriculture, Extreme Weather, News and Opinion, Science
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earth fire disaster

The recent article published in BioScience, “The 2024 state of the climate report: Perilous times on planet Earth,” is a parade of exaggerated claims and half-truths, a propaganda piece designed to scare the public into adopting misguided policies while turning a blind eye to the real drivers of human progress. [emphasis, links added]

While it projects an image of scientific rigor, a closer look reveals that most of these dire warnings don’t even align with the IPCC‘s latest report, particularly when scrutinizing the IPCC AR6’s scientific foundations.

Let’s break this down.

Heat and Cold: Cherry-Picking for Panic

The article wildly exaggerates heat extremes and cold spells, ignoring that most of these changes are well within natural variability, as even the IPCC AR6 admits.

According to IPCC’s AR6 Chapter 12 (Table 12.12), heat extremes are increasing in some places, but not uniformly across the globe.

What the BioScience article ignores is that most of these heat extremes are natural fluctuations. Meanwhile, extreme cold, which kills far more than heat, is thankfully on the decline, as energy access has improved globally.

Source

And let’s look at the actual data: A Lancet study found that cold temperatures are responsible for far more deaths than heat, yet cold extreme [deaths] are on the decline, thanks, in large part, to modern energy sources like coal, oil, and gas.

These are the very energy sources the article demonizes.

Fraction of all-cause mortality attributable to moderate and extreme hot and cold temperature by country. Source

For those in developing nations, these so-called temperature extremes aren’t even on their radar. The reality is that access to cheap, reliable energy is what allows people to survive both heat and cold.

Western elites conveniently forget that the world’s greatest public health achievements, from heating homes to powering air conditioning, have been driven by fossil fuels, not solar panels or wind farms.

Wet and Dry: The Fear of Floods and Droughts Misplaced

The article’s ominous portrayal of floods and droughts paints a picture of the world on the verge of catastrophe. However, according to the IPCC, the patterns of precipitation are far more complex and regionally specific.

There’s no evidence to suggest that the developing world is suddenly facing greater risks from floods than they have for centuries. Sure, some regions may see slight increases in flood risks, but is it an “emergency”? Absolutely not.

The focus on “hydrological drought” and “agricultural drought” as ticking time bombs is equally misleading.

Historically, humans have managed droughts through technology, irrigation, innovation, and improved agricultural practices, not by cutting emissions.

Global agricultural productivity is at an all-time high, and hunger levels have declined in the era of the so-called “climate emergency,” thanks to fossil fuel-based fertilizers and mechanization.

Source: https://ourworldindata.org/agricultural-production#all-charts

Irrational Fear is written by climatologist Dr. Matthew Wielicki and is reader-supported. If you value what you have read here, please consider subscribing and supporting the work that goes into it.

Read rest at Irrational Fear

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Comments 2

  1. Spurwing Plover says:
    7 months ago

    This whole Global Warming/Climate Change is just a plan by the Eco-Freaks and UN Globalists into scaring us into a One World Government all under the UN Total Control Thunberg is just another False Prophet by the UN/CFR Globalists

    • deborah short says:
      6 months ago

      One world government and also massive depopulation

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      • Should We Celebrate Carbon Dioxide?
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      • Why I’m a GW skeptic
      • Winning the climate debate with facts
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      • How much have temps changed?
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