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Physics Prof. Concludes Doubling CO2 Adds Just 0.5°C; ‘Cannot Affect Climate’

by Kenneth Richard
April 30, 2021, 9:25 AM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
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earth and sunA new CO2 climate sensitivity study suggests that beyond the 300 ppm threshold, “any further increase of (anthropogenic) CO2 cannot lead to an appreciably stronger absorption of radiation, and consequently cannot affect the earth’s climate.”

Dr. Schildknecht is a Bielefeld University physics professor affiliated with the Max Planck Institute in Munich.

His equilibrium climate sensitivity estimate (0.5 or 0.6°C for a doubling of CO2 from 380 to 760 ppm) is identical to many other recent estimates (Stallinga et al., 2020, Ollila, 2019, Smirnov, 2017, Smirnov, 2020, Harde, 2016, Bates, 2016, Kissin, 2015, Abbot and Marohasy, 2017, Gervais, 2016).

Via Schildknecht, 2020:

“Based on new radiative transfer numerical evaluations, we reconsider an argument presented by Schack in 1972 that says that saturation of the absorption of infrared radiation by carbon dioxide in the atmosphere sets in as soon as the relative concentration of carbon dioxide exceeds a lower limit of approximately 300 ppm. We provide a concise brief and explicit representation of the greenhouse effect of the earth’s atmosphere. We find an equilibrium climate sensitivity (temperature increase ∆T due to doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration) of ∆T ≃ 0.5°C. We elaborate on the consistency of these results on ∆T with results observationally obtained by satellite-based measurements of short-time radiation-flux versus surface-temperature changes.”

“The absorption reaches values close to 100% for a realistic CO2 content of 0.03%, it is concluded that any further increase of (anthropogenic) CO2 cannot lead to an appreciably stronger absorption of radiation, and consequently cannot affect the earth’s climate.”

“[T]he effect of an anthropogenic CO2 increase on the climate on earth is fairly negligible.”

Image Source: Schildknecht, 2020

h/t Rúnar O.

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Comments 5

  1. Spurwing Plover says:
    4 years ago

    Regulate CO2? THEY MIGHT AS WELL ASK T HE WIND TO STOP BLOWING OR THE SUN TO STOP SHINNING

  2. John Shewchuk says:
    4 years ago

    If Schumer is correct, increasing CO2 has been causing increased cooling … https://newtube.app/user/RAOB/8ydbQgs

  3. Allan Shelton says:
    4 years ago

    Someone please explain why my understanding is false.
    CO2 is a gas; all gasses expand and rise in an open system;
    If CO2 absorbs IR then it must thermalize; expand and rise, and thus, act as a coolant.
    No???

    • Sonnyhill says:
      4 years ago

      What goes up must come down.
      The biggest coolant in the atmosphere is water.

    • Dave says:
      4 years ago

      The increase in temperature of the CO2 molecule (or any greenhouse gas) is almost instantly transmitted to the other atmospheric gases, one constituent gas cannot remain at a different temperature than the rest of the air.

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