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Oh, Buoy! Alarmist Media Push False Claim Florida’s Waters Like A ‘Hot Tub’

by Anthony Watts
July 31, 2023, 2:29 PM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 4 mins read
A A
5

guardian hot tub headlineLast week, several media outlets reported on a single seawater temperature of 101.1°F recorded at a buoy in Florida, claiming it was due to climate change. This is false.

One single seawater temperature over one day isn’t an indicator of climate change, nor as the data shows was it unprecedented as the media claimed. [emphasis, links added]

Some headlines:

  • The Associated Press: South Florida waters hit hot tub level and may have set world record for warmest seawater
  • The Guardian: Florida ocean records ‘unprecedented’ temperatures similar to a hot tub
  • Fox News: Florida water topped 100 degrees twice this week, may have set world record: ‘This is a hot tub’
  • Al Jazeera: ‘A hot tub’: Florida sees record water temperatures, raising alarm

The Guardian opined:

Records for ocean surface temperature are not kept, but a 2020 study suggested that the highest temperature observed was 99.7F (37.61C) in the Persian Gulf.

…

The growing frequency and intensity of severe weather – both on land and in oceans – is a symptom of the global, human-driven climate crisis that is fueling extremes, experts warn…

In the Associated Press (AP) article, which spawned many of the other articles, there was this statement:

But the buoy at Manatee Bay hit 101.1 degrees Fahrenheit (38.4 degrees Celsius) Monday evening, according to National Weather Service meteorologist George Rizzuto. The night before, that buoy showed an online reading of 100.2 F (37.9 C).

An examination of the actual data from that buoy designated as MNBF1 shows that the peak in temperature of 101.1F (38.4C) was very brief and then the water rapidly cooled off, with such a temperature not being repeated since (see Figure 1 below):

Figure 1: A plot of temperature data from the Manatee Bay (MNBF1) buoy. Image and data from National Data Buoy Center.

However, what the media missed is that MNBF1 is not an ocean buoy at all; in fact, it is partially inland, designated as part of the Everglades National Park, and not in the waters of the Atlantic Ocean, as seen in this Google Earth image in Figure 2:

Figure 2: Google Earth image showing placement of buoy MNBF1. Note that it is not actually in the Atlantic, but is behind the Key Largo barrier reef, and in a shallow bay called Manatee Bay.

On this Google Earth closeup, seen in Figure 3, we can see this buoy is in exceptionally shallow water, near the shoreline – you can see the bottom of the bay.

Figure 3: Google Earth closeup image showing placement of buoy MNBF1 at Bay Point of Manatee Bay. Note how shallow the water is, enabling you to see the dark bottom.

One of the most important things that the media missed is the fact that due to the shallow water and placement near land, this buoy is sensitive to tides and wide temperature fluctuations due to the depth of the water.

With very shallow water, it is very easy for the sun to heat the sand/mud beneath the buoy, which is dark (which will absorb more sunlight), which will then increase the temperature reading recorded in the water.

Indeed, the high-temperature reading correlates closely with low tide. The temperature peaked at 22:00 HR GMT – which was after low tide at 1:35 PM – water had a chance to warm because sunlight was hitting the bottom.

Figure 4A and 4B: Tide data for Manatee Bay and temperature data and time for buoy MNBF1.

The media completely missed the fact that this sort of temperature at that buoy had happened before and this was not the highest temperature ever seen there.

The record for the Manatee Bay site is 102 degrees. It was set on Aug. 15, 2017.

The data from that buoy only goes back to 2004. With such a short period of data, it cannot possibly be representative of any climate trend, which requires at least 30 years or more of data.

Figure 5: Plot of temperature data from Manatee Bay buoy MNBF1 from 2004 with peak temperatures noted. Note also that in 2009, the temperature hit 100°F there. Source: Michael Lowry SFNRC.

Had the media bothered to check, they would have discovered that the buoy is in relatively shallow stagnant water, somewhat inland, and not in the ocean, and therefore not representative of Atlantic Ocean temperatures.

They would have also discovered that it was “not a record,” with higher temperatures previously being recorded at that particular buoy.

Furthermore, if they had bothered to check the tide table, they would have learned that the high temperature correlated with a lower-than-normal tide, which allowed the subsurface structures heated by the sun to also contribute to heating the water.

Indeed, the water is so shallow where this buoy is placed, it is entirely possible that the buoy itself rests on the muddy tidal bottom during extremely low tides.

But they didn’t bother to check. Instead, following the climate crisis narrative they are pushing, they hyped tales of unprecedented ocean temperatures and warned of impending doom.

Meanwhile, as this link to the live data shows, nature has brought the water temperatures back to expected values for this time of year.

It is important to note that The Guardian reported, “Normal water temperatures for the area this time of year should be between 73F and 88F (23C and 31C), according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).”

The “crisis” is over, water temperatures at MNBF1 are back to normal levels, but the incompetent media isn’t reporting on that.

Read more at Climate Realism

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Comments 5

  1. ghorner says:
    2 years ago

    I don’t for a minute believe the media “missed” the obviously contradictory data… They are bought and payed for by the far left!

    • David Lewis says:
      2 years ago

      You are definitely right about the media. I just read an article, not on this site, that the New York Times hired 40 journalists with the mission to promote the climate change narrative. However, we need to keep in mind one characteristic of liberals. When they get the answer they want, they run with it and don’t look into the matter any further. Much of the time further investigation would show that the answer they wanted isn’t supported by the facts.

      • David Lewis says:
        2 years ago

        The article was posted on this site, https://climatechangedispatch.com/lomborg-climate-change-hasnt-set-the-world-on-fire/. I read it at a different site with a different title before I got to the posting on Climate Change Dispatch.

  2. Spurwing Plover says:
    2 years ago

    The M.S. Media is nothing but the typical leftists Propaganda the AP the Guardian the NYT’s Fox News its all just about the very same leftists Propaganda we have been getting for years its just time to just Boycott the whole thing

  3. Joseph Repas says:
    2 years ago

    The problem is not just that the story is misleading, but even more so that many people suck up their misinformation as absolute truth because that is what they want to believe and so do not care about what is real.

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