
A new study (Nilsson and Gardner, 2026) finds that from 1992 to 2023, mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet (GIS) and peripheral glaciers contributed just 1.1 cm (11 mm) to global sea level—about 0.37 mm per year. [some emphasis, links added]
Greenland’s ice mass losses have not followed a pattern that would suggest linearly rising CO2 emissions are driving ice melt.
In fact, from 1992 to 2001, the GIS and coastal glaciers contributed to a net reduction in global sea levels, with net ice-sheet mass gains amounting to +50 Gt/yr.
From 2002 to 2011, Greenland experienced a decade of rapid ice loss, amounting to -303 Gt/yr, spawning an era of alarmist “tipping point” headlines and IPCC doomsday reporting.
Since then, however, GIS loss has slowed about 60%, to -124 Gt/yr. This slowdown has been attributed to ocean cooling and a positive surface mass balance (SMB) over the last decade.
Despite the rapid 60% deceleration in ice melt, there are no signs of a slowdown in alarmist narratives about GIS ice loss.

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