Svante Arrhenius is known as the “godfather” of the CO2 greenhouse effect. Today’s climate models are still based on his 1896 thought-experiment calculations of CO2’s imagined capacity to warm Earth’s surface (71% water) out of a frozen solid state by tens of degrees. [some emphasis, links added]
His one-dimensional model “assumed a state of equilibrium” for all other climate factors except CO2.
In other words, the model does not account for changes in albedo, insolation, cloud cover, or relative humidity (Anderson et al., 2016).
Instead, these climate parameters remain perpetually constant.
“The calculations involved balancing the radiative heat budget (thereby assuming a state of equilibrium), namely solar radiation arriving at the Earth’s surface (including the effect of albedo from clouds and the Earth’s surface)…”
“He assumed constant relative humidity within the atmosphere…”
“The cloud fraction remained fixed, as did the relative contributions of land, sea, ice, and cloud to overall albedo.”
Thus, the Arrhenius conceptualization is rooted in an assumed “state of equilibrium” that does not exist in reality—an imaginary world.
Even those who rigorously defend and extol Arrhenius’s work admit his model is so primitive that it cannot even represent heat transfer processes.
“The simplicity of the model meant that there was no possibility of representing changes in heat transport…”
Arrhenius even claimed that lunar temperatures are nearly equal to Earth’s in his 1896 paper.
“Now the temperature of the moon is nearly the same as that of the Earth.”
He also claimed doubling CO2 levels (300 to 600 ppm) warms the ocean 5-6°C, and tripling CO2 results in an 8-9°C warmer ocean surface.
There is no real-world observation supporting an assertion that doubling or tripling the CO2 in the air over a body of water results in these temperature changes.
To top it off, the “godfather” of modern climate science surmised it would take 3,000 years to double the atmospheric CO2 concentration.
“Arrhenius remarked that a doubling of CO2 would occur three-thousand years hence.”
Imaginary-world models are untestable and thus unfalsifiable. The unfalsifiability of a claim necessitates that it is no more than a belief.
Read more at No Tricks Zone
The hack CO2 does nothing author Richard left out very important facts.
The Swedish scientist who first calculated and measured the impact of atmospheric carbon dioxide CO2 on global temperatures in 1896 is Svante Arrhenius. He is NOT the “godfather” of the CO2 greenhouse effect. The first sentence is wrong.
In his 1906 work, Svante Arrhenius amended his 1896 view and believed the temperature increase from doubled would be more moderate than his initial, higher calculations. While his famous 1896 paper predicted a temperature rise of 5–6°C for a doubling of CO2, his 1906 update lowered this estimate to 1.6°C (inclusive of water vapor feedback).
The 1906 revision was not mentioned in the article to make the scientist look bad. The 1906 estimate still seems very reasonable 119 years later.
The purpose of this article is to slam a scientist, not to congratulate him.
The greenhouse effect has a “godmother scientist”:
Eunice Newton Foote, a pioneer in greenhouse research …
Eunice Newton Foote (1819–1888), an American amateur scientist and women’s rights activist, is recognized as the first person to discover the greenhouse effect in 1856, three years before Irish physicist John Tyndall. She demonstrated that carbon dioxide and water vapor could significantly increase the sun’s heating effect on the atmosphere.
So which planet Krypton(Superman)or Preplanus(Lost in Space)or perhaps Alderan(Star Wars)since a ll these plans were destroyed
It would be really helpful if some of these so-called climate scientists just looked out the window on occasions. Here where we live, nothing has changed in the 77 years I’ve been alive.