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Biden’s Radical Climate Goals Will Require Massive Shifts In Economy

by Haris Alic
May 03, 2021, 8:12 AM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 4 mins read
A A
7

electric car chargingPresident Biden’s goal of cutting greenhouse gases more than 50% by 2030 is not feasible without a rapid transformation of the U.S. economy that would hit electricity generation, transportation, agriculture, and manufacturing particularly hard, experts say.

Mr. Biden, knowing the difficulty that lies ahead, has not presented a detailed plan of how his administration will hit the 2030 target.

The White House has stressed only two avenues for combating climate change: a clean electricity standard and the phaseout of gasoline-powered cars.

Making changes to those two sectors of the economy is essential to combating climate change because they produce more than half of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions.

Transportation accounts for nearly 29%, and electricity generation makes up 25% of emissions, according to the Environmental Protection Agency.

Researchers at the University of Maryland estimated what it would take to reach Mr. Biden’s goal: The electricity sector would have to slash emissions 76% by 2030, and the transportation sector would have to reduce emissions by 40%.

A substantial cut in the electricity sector is considered onerous. Producers already have shifted toward natural gas, which generates fewer emissions than coal, and are significantly curbing their reliance on fossil fuels.

In 2020, more than 39% of all U.S. electricity was generated from carbon-free sources such as nuclear power and hydroelectricity.

Mr. Biden wants to go further. He has proposed a 100% carbon-free electricity mandate by 2035. The policy explicitly targets the coal and natural gas industries, which produce 63% of all electricity consumed in the U.S., according to the Energy Information Administration.

“The only way the president can meet his emissions target is by eviscerating coal and natural gas,” said Steve Milloy, who was a member of Donald Trump’s presidential transition team for the Environmental Protection Agency.

“For the administration to come even close to its electricity standard, it would need to close down at least 11 coal and natural gas plants per month between now and 2035.”

Complicating matters are congressional Democrats who oppose investment in the expansion of nuclear energy and other alternatives to generate carbon-free electricity. Instead, they prioritize solar and wind, which are less reliable sources of energy.

“There aren’t enough solar panels or wind turbines to generate the electricity required to power the U.S. economy,” Mr. Milloy said. “Solar and wind are temperamental and can’t be adapted to work in every part of the country, especially in the Northeast.”

To curtail emissions in the transportation sector, the White House is pushing the phaseout of gasoline-powered vehicles in favor of electric cars.

The administration is working with congressional Democrats to ensure that its $2.25 trillion infrastructure package includes at least $174 billion for the transition to electric vehicles.

At least $40 billion would be used to install 500,000 electric vehicle charging stations across the country.

“The transportation sector is the one area we have not done almost anything to address greenhouse gas emissions,” Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said. “We are going to use every tool we can to make this happen. … The [infrastructure plan] is obviously a big tool in the toolbox.”

It is not clear, though, whether consumers would make the transition to electric vehicles in broad enough numbers.

A study published in Nature Energy, a peer-reviewed scientific journal, shows that 1 out of 5 electric vehicle owners in California revert to gas-powered cars, though that is mainly because they don’t have easy access to charging at home.

Questions also linger as to whether electric vehicle policies and a 100% clean electricity standard would be complementary or contrasting.

Energy experts argue that a stable and abundant electricity supply would be required for electric vehicles to overtake gas-powered cars on the road.

“Everyone points to electric cars as the answer, arguing they curb emissions by cutting down on the use of gasoline,” said Dan Kish, a senior fellow at the Institute for Energy Research. “The other side, though, is you wind up relying more on electricity generation, which in the U.S. mostly comes from coal and natural gas.”

That reliance on coal and natural gas is unlikely to cease, given current political realities.

Mr. Biden’s 100% clean energy standard, in its current form, faces long odds in the 50-50 Senate.

The proposal would have to be modified to garner at least 10 Republican supporters to avert a filibuster, or it would have to be passed through budget reconciliation, a tactic allowing fiscal measures to pass on a simple majority vote.

Both paths run through Sen. Joe Manchin III, a conservative Democrat from the coal state of West Virginia. Mr. Manchin, who serves as chairman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, has signaled his displeasure with using reconciliation too frequently and opposes abolishing the filibuster.

The senator is also keen to protect the energy industry in West Virginia, one of the nation’s most economically distressed states.

“I think that we can do [a clean energy standard] and move forward, but we’re not going to eliminate,” Mr. Manchin said during a recent forum hosted by the American Council on Renewable Energy.

“You can’t just say we’re going to eliminate using all fossil and coal’s going to be out, oil’s going to be out, everything else, gas is going to be out of it.”

Mr. Manchin’s stance increases the chance that the administration’s efforts to reach the 2030 target would be conducted via executive action.

Regulations are likely to fall heaviest on the agriculture and manufacturing sectors, which combined account for 33% of all U.S. greenhouse gas emissions.

Nicolas Loris, the Joyce Morgan fellow in energy and environmental policy at The Heritage Foundation, said manufacturing is in the crosshairs of regulators because of its diversification and complexity.

“Energy-intensive manufacturing industries are a big target,” Mr. Loris said. “Everything will be on the table, from different processes to cement production to how much and what kind of energy firms can use in the manufacturing process.”

Democrats are expected to target the agriculture sector because it relies on chemicals such as nitrogen, a major component of fertilizer, and produces methane gas from livestock emissions.

Republican lawmakers, however, are readying for the challenge. Sen. John Boozman of Arkansas, the top Republican on the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee, is promising to lead the charge against any regulations that hurt “farm country.”

Read rest at Washington Times

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Comments 7

  1. David Lewis says:
    4 years ago

    Biden wants the US to rejoin the world community on action on climate change. Under his leadership this will happen. Almost every nation is missing its targets on climate change action. The US will join them in missing Biden’s targets.

    Targeting agriculture will have a very predictable result. Food prices will significant increase. The lower classes including communities of color spend a larger percentage of their incomes on food. As usual, the very people the Democrats claim to care about will be hurt the worst.

    Energy-intensive manufacturing industries will be a big target. They will also be a moving target. As their costs become greater and they become excessively regulated, they will be move to nations with friendly environments, such as China.

    For the Biden administration to be relying a large movement to electric cars shows he understands Americans no better than Marie Antoinette understood the average Frenchman of her time. Elon Musk, CEO of Telsa, volunteered in an interview that the average American can not afford an electric car.

    Reply
  2. Ralph says:
    4 years ago

    Global warming/climate change proponents dream up schemes in their heads about how to combat Global warming/climate change but have no idea accomplish it. They expect someone else to do that work for them and then they wonder why more hasn’t been done to resolve this so called “problem”.

    Reply
  3. Spurwing Plover says:
    4 years ago

    All those Global Warming/Climate Change Celeberties should just all resign and take up living like Hermits far away in the Mountains so we dont have to put up with their Holier then Thou arrogance

    Reply
  4. hunterson7 says:
    4 years ago

    Let’s clarify that headline”
    The reactionary Biden regime anti-science climate policy will do nothing to the climate and damage American resilience, the environment and hurt the American people.

    Reply
  5. Spurwing Plover says:
    4 years ago

    If Biden and the rest of the Democ-Rats were that concerned about Global Warming/Climate Change they would have chosen to move our nations capital further inland

    Reply
    • John Shewchuk says:
      4 years ago

      Well said. They know the truth, but lie to scare people and to then gain power. In the meantime, Kerry (another liar) acts like he’s actually helping … https://newtube.app/user/RAOB/R8l9API

      Reply
  6. Donald Cross says:
    4 years ago

    Your’e in too deep Joe. It’s a house of cards, pie in the sky and the American people are going to pay for this, BIG TIME ! At least you should have thought gradual change like natural gas till you get your magic batteries working. America is awash with gas and the infrastructure is in place. Win-win. At least by 2035 I’ll be composting somewhere .

    Reply

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