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48 Of 79 ‘Catastrophic Climate’ Predictions Have Failed; Other 31 Haven’t Expired Yet

by Kenneth Richard
April 09, 2021, 9:19 AM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
9

earth fire disasterA new peer-reviewed paper published in the International Journal of Global Warmingidentifies 79 “apocalyptic” predictions formulated since 1970 by “researchers and activists” who “predict cataclysmic events” resulting from “catastrophic climate change.”

Already 48 of these “truly apocalyptic forecasts” have failed. The other 31 are likely just as wrong, but the prediction end dates haven’t expired yet, as “the apocalypse is always about 20 years out.”

Rode and Fischbeck are “professors of Social & Decision Sciences and Engineering & Public Policy” at Carnegie Mellon University.

In a new paper and press release (surprisingly published in AAAS) they have effectively exposed a “string of repeated apocalyptic forecast failures” over the last 50 years made by such activists/scientists as Al Gore, Paul Ehrlich, and Tim Flannery.

Activists/scientists James Hansen and Michael Mann have catastrophic predictions set to expire in the 2030s, and the IPCC had a cataclysmic forecast already fail and 3 others that will expire in 2029 and 2050 (2).

The authors’ intention was to warn the climate science community about the cry-wolf dangers of repeatedly making “extreme climate forecasts” that, when they inevitably fail, “undermine the trust in the underlying science.”

It is highly likely that these warnings will be ignored, however, as “making sensational predictions of the doom of humanity, while scientifically dubious, has still proven tempting for those wishing to grab headlines.”

Image Source: Rode and Fischbeck, 2021 and (AAAS press release)

The list of 79 predictions and their end (failure) dates can be found here:

Image Source: Rode and Fischbeck, 2019

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Comments 9

  1. David Lewis says:
    5 years ago

    The reason that the climate change movement can get away with a constant stream of failed predictions is that the mainstream media never reminds of the public of the past failures. It just sensationalizes the new prediction as something that is going to happen.

    As far as the list of 79 predictions, consider a sports broadcast that gave the scores of the games played last weekend, but left out the team names. That list of 79 predictions doesn’t tell what the predictions were, so isn’t very useful.

  2. John Shewchuk says:
    5 years ago

    This overview puts the 97% Consensus to shame. It’s more important to recognize the 97% Collusion … https://newtube.app/user/RAOB/drbkiaw

  3. Gumnut says:
    5 years ago

    The obsession with AGW and renewables is like betting your house on a five-leg multi where the climate must be worsening, the cause must be carbon dioxide, the CO2 must be released by human activity, the solutions proposed must work (which probably means solar power generation at night and wind power generation on a still day) and the required spending must be affordable.

    That’s about as likely as warmists thinking the first and penultimate sentence of this comment was too short.

  4. Dave of Reedy Creek, Qld. Aus. says:
    5 years ago

    So pleased to see our own fake prophet of doom Tim Flannery on the list. His absurd predictions cost Australia billions of dollars and still does. Then the ultimate lie about sea level rises and he buys a house that would be under water if his rubbish came true. On that note we are still being fed almost daily lies about sea level rises. You often hear it slipped into news items as if it is actually happening. I guess the old ploy of telling a lie until it is believed remains true. As far a accurate and truthful records go sea level rises have scarcely moved a fraction in the last 100-150 years.

  5. Spurwing Plover says:
    5 years ago

    Micheal Mann like Al gore and Leonardo DiCaprio are Snake Oil salesmen selling us their phonie cure for illness we don’t have

  6. Trevor Marr says:
    5 years ago

    Oil and Fossil Fuels are used by everyone, everywhere, for everything! If you are against them, in an ever optimizing and responsible, regulated World, then you must be banned from all their benefits. Even GREEN energy can not exist without them. Let the zealots walk their talk!

  7. Trevor Marr says:
    5 years ago

    AGW = Al Gore’s Wrong!
    AGW = Al and Greta are Wrong!
    We are fleas on an elephant, we have to be responsible fleas, but we fleas need to use all forms of energy, optimize each and choose the best one to suit the given need! …because, All fleas matter!

  8. GERARD MENY says:
    5 years ago

    liar one day, liar forever. Michael mann is the phoenix who regains wings with Biden
    In France, we are spoiled with Jupiter
    But Donald will be back
    All the Best.

    • Trevor Marr says:
      5 years ago

      Yes bann Michael Mann-made-up Climate from all oi/fossil fuel benefits! He and the Left are Powered by a 50:50 blend of Hypocrisy and Treasonous Agenda!

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