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Bloomberg News: Worst-Case Scenario For Climate Change Not ‘Realistic’

by Joseph Vazquez
December 31, 2019, 1:38 PM
in News and Opinion
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You know it’s a cold day in hell when a liberal outlet like Bloomberg News is critiquing the left’s climate armageddon.

Bloomberg Opinion columnist Noah Smith explained how the “Worst Case for Climate Change Doesn’t Look Realistic.”

His Dec. 23 op-ed summarized findings from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and critiqued one of several climate scenarios.

He focused on the “direst” scenario called RCP8.5, which “implies that the planet would warm by an average of 5 degrees Celsius (about 9 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100 — an absolutely catastrophic, civilization-ending level of warming.”

But, Smith noted, “a growing chorus of climate scientists and energy policy analysts has begun to question whether the dreaded RCP8.5 scenario should be taken seriously.”

Smith wrote that the doomsday scenario assumes “that after a brief flirtation with natural gas and renewable energy, the world returns to fueling industrialization primarily with coal.” Smith said this outcome was “vanishingly unlikely.”

His reasoning was threefold: there’s not that much accessible coal in the ground; burning coal creates air pollution (giving countries an additional incentive to reduce its use); dropping prices for renewables.

Smith said that “as renewables get cheaper, it will become economical to retire existing coal and gas plants.” In turn, the IPCC’s “commonly cited doomsday scenario looks like a rash flight of imagination,” Smith said.

The CATO Institute gave a detailed critique of the IPCC’s doomsday scenario in 2018, arguing that it “is obsolete.”

“It was obsolete when it was first published in the journal Climate Change by Riahi et al. in 2011. By then the shale gas revolution was underway, as can be seen from the plot below of shale gas production,” CATO concluded.

CATO continued, “By 2011, abundant shale gas had begun a wholesale displacement of coal for electrical generation, increasing natural gas’s portion of our energy portfolio and decreasing that of coal.”

But of course, Smith couldn’t let his entire column be “controversial,” given his outlet’s liberal bias, and proceeded to still push alarmism: “Now for the bad news: 2.5 degrees of warming will still be catastrophic for many people and countries, and 3 degrees even more so.”

He continued mouthing left-wing talking points:

“Instead of embarking on the fool’s errand of trying to dismantle capitalism, governments should utilize the combined resources of the public and private sectors. They should retire all coal plants as quickly as possible, steadily reduce natural gas usage and convert to all electric vehicles. Buildings need to be retrofitted to use electricity instead of gas. And new technologies for producing low-carbon steel and cement, and for carbon-free aviation, need to be researched, scaled up and disseminated internationally.”

Interesting, given that liberal billionaire co-founder of Microsoft and climate activist Bill Gates had just stated this year that divesting from fossil fuels would have a “zero” impact on climate change.

Smith also ignored reporting that “[t]otal U.S. greenhouse gas emissions in 2017 reached their lowest levels since 1992, according to the final Environmental Protection Agency Greenhouse Gas Inventory,” which Energy In Depth, a research program of the Independent Petroleum Association of America, reported on April 16, 2019.

Read more at NewsBusters

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Comments 5

  1. Spurwing Plover says:
    5 years ago

    If Bloomberg is not already trying to disarm us now the scum sucker is trying to subvert the USA and naming himself as our Emporer and ruling over us with a Iron Fist and sending his Imperial Storm Troopers in their Green Armor to confiscate our guns and our land Emporer Plapatine Bloomberg needs to leave

  2. Sonnyhill says:
    5 years ago

    This morning on the Bloomberg Business channel, a guest, Kathryn Rooney Vera, stated that any 2020 election outcome other than another term for Trump would be negative for the markets. Give Bloomberg credit for tolerance.
    BTW, I think that Bill Gates meant that divesting fossil fuel investments from your portfolio wouldn’t reduce climate change. The wording in this post is misleading.

  3. David Lewis says:
    5 years ago

    As I said in yesterday’s post, alarmists with technical knowledge know that RCP8.5 is not realistic. However, the Russian Climate Model, INMCM5, appears to be accurate. It closely matches real world data from 1850 to 2014. The other climate models can not do this. Though it is the most accurate of all models, INMCM5 is not liked by the alarmists or their puppets in the mainstream media because it only predicts warming of 1.4 degrees by 2100.

    This means the actions suggested in the above article are not necessary and are actually bad ideas.

    Anyone who wants to read more can do at:

    https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2018/10/22/2018-update-best-climate-model-inmcm5/

  4. anothermaninthemirror says:
    5 years ago

    ….. trouble is that Bloomberg Opinion columnist Noah Smith is a left wing person that has fallen prey to the propaganda that CO2 from the burning of fossil fuels, is driving the CACC Cult to these dire predictions. Op-eds will not get printed in the mass media that say : There is NO CLIMATE EMERGENCY : CO2 IS NOT THE “SWITCH” THAT CAUSES THE PLANET TO INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE IS OCCURRING IN ITS NATURAL CYCLE AS IT HAS FOR MILLENNIA. Mass media should address these concepts if they want to be taken seriously by a silent majority and not just a biased view point that the Guardian, CBC, BBC, CNN etcetera and there ilk, are …. for 2020 one can dream of the “reset button” being pressed in these matters !!! Hope springs eternal.

    • David Lewis says:
      5 years ago

      Let’s keep the climate emergency going just a little longer. The things that the Democrats want to do for the climate could be the deciding factor and had the 2020 election to the Republicans.

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