On July 3 and 4 and in the following days, multiple mainstream media outlets ran stories claiming that the Earth had experienced an unprecedented hot day(s). This is false.
The data they cited was not official data but from a private website, and an investigation shows the claim was a gross error. [emphasis, links added]
Some sample headlines from that week are:
Yahoo News: ‘Unprecedented and terrifying’: World sets all-time high-temperature record 2 days in a row
Forbes: July 4 Was Earth’s Hottest Day In Over 100000 Years
UPI: Climate scientists: July 4 was hottest ever for average global temperature
CNBC: World registers hottest day since records began
In the CNBC article, reporter Sam Meredith wrote [bold, links added]:
The planet’s average daily temperature climbed to 17.18 degrees Celsius (62.9 degrees Fahrenheit) on Tuesday, according to the University of Maine’s Climate Reanalyzer, an unofficial tool that is often used by climate scientists as a reference to the world’s condition.
“Monday, July 3rd was the hottest day ever recorded on Planet Earth. A record that lasted until … Tuesday, July 4th,” said Bill McGuire, professor emeritus of geophysical and climate hazards at University College London, via Twitter.
“Totally unprecedented and terrifying,” he added.
All those people missed the fact that they were looking at the output of a climate model, not actually measured temperatures.
Only one news outlet, The Associated Press, bothered to print a sensible caveat. In the [July 6] story “Earth hit an unofficial record high temperature this week – and stayed there” reporting [bold, links added]:
On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration distanced itself from the designation, compiled by the University of Maine’s Climate Reanalyzer, which uses satellite data and computer simulations to measure the world’s condition.
That metric showed that Earth’s average temperature on Wednesday remained at an unofficial record high, 62.9 degrees Fahrenheit (17.18 degrees Celsius), set the day before.
The AP updated its story on July 7 to include this single yet very important paragraph [bold added, links added]]:
NOAA, whose figures are considered the gold standard in climate data, said in a statement Thursday that it cannot validate the unofficial numbers. It noted that the reanalyzer uses model output data, which it called “not suitable” as substitutes for actual temperatures and climate records. The agency monitors global temperatures and records on a monthly and an annual basis, not daily.
So, in the space of two days, we went from temperature data that was “[t]otally unprecedented and terrifying,” to temperature data that was not suitable for purpose.
How did this happen? It was a chain of events involving “experts” on social media who first noticed this graph on climatereanalyser.org:
Note the uptick in black at the top, which is supposedly proof of the hottest day ever in Earth’s history.
Social media created a “viral” response to this, and the poorly trained yet climate narrative-compliant mainstream media picked up the story and ran with it.
Some people, such as Ryan Maue, Ph.D., tried to put the wrongheaded social media fire out via Twitter. He notes that the climate model used isn’t even current, circa 2009/2011:
Note that this is NOT an official NOAA or NCEP temperature monitoring product.
It is crude weather model output that is not suitable for climate analysis.
Be careful quoting this as "NCEP" as it's actually from University of Maine — a product analysis based on a 2009… https://t.co/WSuz0QRZqd
— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) July 5, 2023
It seems the media, social and otherwise, saw what they expected to see and got fooled. They failed to check the source of the data before rushing to judgment.
Then, on July 8, the University of Maine’s Climate Reanalyzer website was forced to put up this notice on its global temperature page:
But even that claim is false because the NCEP CFSv2 used by Climate Reanalyzer and listed at the top of their graph is defined as a model, according to its developer, NOAA:
The CFS version 2 was developed at the Environmental Modeling Center at NCEP. It is a fully coupled model representing the interaction between the Earth’s atmosphere, oceans, land, and sea ice.
So much for Climate Reanalyzer’s “not a model” claims. They simply “got caught with their pants down,” and the special notice was little more than damage control.
Even if the Climate Reanalyzer output had accurately reflected the temperature data recorded since satellites data began, there is no justification for the bizarre claims made by outlets such as Forbes: “July 4 Was Earth’s Hottest Day In Over 100000 Years”
Note that in Figure 1, climatereanalyser.org only has data back to 1979. That makes the 100,000-year claim not just far-fetched, but impossible to verify or substantiate.
The mainstream media’s behavior in response to the claims made by Climate Reanalyzer made what should have been passed unnoticed as a bizarre outlier in climate data into headline news around the globe.
This treatment was unjustifiable, a blatantly false portrayal by social media and mainstream media to push the climate crisis narrative forward.
If the mainstream media had any integrity left, retractions would be published, yet there shamefully does not seem to be a single one.
The original AP article did not carry this caveat when it was originally posted as seen via the Internet Archive. They also didn’t indicate the article was revised to include this new information. —CCD Editor
Read more at Climate Realism
July has always been hot its Summer Time Afterall and summers are always hot although our June was rather mild