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Study: Warming Periods Over Last 8,000 Years Linked To Fewer Droughts, Less Famine

In Contrast, Centuries of Cooling Caused Megadroughts and Ecological Hardship

by Kenneth Richard
December 09, 2024, 9:05 AM
in Agriculture, Extreme Weather, News, Science
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
4

harvest drought
Paleoclimate evidence affirms warmth reduces drought frequency and intensity. 
[emphasis, links added]

A new study utilizing Asian tree pollen records affirms that for the last 8,000 years, centennial-scale warming periods were associated with reductions in drought, famines, and crop failures.

“…warm periods were associated with increased precipitation along with relatively short-lived drought events.”

In contrast, centuries of cooling (e.g., the Little Ice Age) induced “extreme drought conditions,” or megadroughts, and thus widespread ecological hardship.

“…a cooling trend in the Northern Hemisphere may result in persistent extreme drought conditions in arid tropical regions.”

Since warming is associated with more rainfall and cooling induces drought, it is interesting that modern trends are the opposite of what would be anticipated with a warming climate.

Despite lower CO2 levels in the first half of the 20th century, there was more precipitation (warmer) from 1900-1960s and less precipitation (cooling) from the 1970s to 1990s.

“…relatively high annual precipitation before 1970 which was linked to relatively high tree pollen percentages. However, from the 1970s to the mid-1990s, both the tree pollen percentages and annual precipitation decreased”

The authors conclude that there should not be an emphasis on the dangers of global warming, but, considering the environmental consequences, “it is also important to address the potential hazards associated with cooling.”

Image Source: Li et al., 2024

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Comments 4

  1. Graham McDonald says:
    11 months ago

    Recall Mann’s “hockey stick”. Plotting the ‘tree-ring’ derived temperatures post 1960 showed a decreasing temperature. So he substituted ‘thermometer’ readings, which were headed upwards. “We’re all doomed.”

    If I’d pulled a stunt/trick like that in high school I’d probably have been expelled.

    • Sonnyhill says:
      11 months ago

      I’m hoping that President-elect Trump passes the White House keys to JD Vance.
      8-12 years should be long enough to exorcise the climate alarmism demons.

      • Graham McDonald says:
        11 months ago

        I notice that the “climate doomisters” are now setting their ‘predictions’ much further ahead. Too many predictions have come and gone without occuring. It’s not ‘good’ when your predictions fail.

  2. Sonnyhill says:
    11 months ago

    2024 has been an excellent growing season in most of North America. (Ohio suffered in drought) Two years in a row, a balance of sun and rain that has over-filled bins and driven down the price of grain. Food security. If you don’t see it at the grocery store check-out remember that only 15% of your bill goes to farmers.

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