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Study Pours Cold Water On Sea-Rise Apocalypse

by Ben Webster
February 08, 2019, 9:10 AM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
2

sea level wave coast floodScientists who made apocalyptic warnings that the sea level could rise more than two meters this century were probably wrong, according to a new assessment.

Researchers at King’s College London found that it would be closer to one meter by 2100 because Antarctica’s towering ice cliffs were less likely to collapse than had been claimed by US scientists.

The revised prediction challenges a study in 2016 by Penn State University claiming that Antarctic melting alone could contribute more than a meter to the rise in sea level.

The melting of glaciers and the Greenland ice sheet, plus thermal expansion of the oceans, are expected to add about another meter, meaning that the total rise would have been more than 2m had the US study been correct.However, the King’s College London scientists studied sea level rises three million years ago, 125,000 years ago and over the past 25 years in more detail and found that they could be explained without assuming that the ice cliffs had collapsed.

Tamsin Edwards, lecturer in physical geography at King’s and lead author of the study published in Nature, said: “Unstable ice cliffs in Antarctica were proposed as a cause of the unstoppable collapse of large parts of the ice sheet in the past. They were, therefore, also predicted to cause rapidly rising seas with global warming in our near future. But we’ve re-analyzed the data and found this isn’t the case.”

Even if greenhouse gas emissions continued at a high rate, there was only a 5 percent chance of Antarctica’s contribution to sea-level rise exceeding 39cm by 2100. It was most likely to be 15cm, meaning that the total increase would be about 120cm — still higher than the 98cm forecast in 2013 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Read more at The Times

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Comments 2

  1. Boxorox says:
    7 years ago

    Most of all, we can completely dismiss the notion about thermal expansion of the oceans to account for any changes in sea level. Only the topmost 200-500 feet of the seas is subject to any environmentally induced temperature changes, and it would take a change measured in tens of degrees to result in any variance in density. That is clearly not part of the situation.
    Another thing that must be realized, but the scaremongers easily ignore, is that we are still in the recovery from the Wisconsonian glacial maximum which reached a climax about 13,000 year (130 centuries) ago. At the time of the maximum, ocean levels were about 400 feet lower than today. Average out the sea level increase during the past 130 centuries and you’ll find out that 3.1-foot rise per century is completely normal.
    Oops, there I go again trying to reason with liberal fools.

  2. Spurwing Plover says:
    7 years ago

    But of course if we listened to all the Malarkey from Al Bore and the various Eco-Freaks groups the Ice Cap would be long gone and if we realy beleived the fake news from the NYT’s and CNN we would be as dumb as the Eco-Wackos who sit in trees or run around naked

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