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Solar Activity Crashes

by Dr. Benny Peiser, GWPF, guest post
April 12, 2018, 8:59 AM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
2

We are in the process of moving into the biggest scientific experiment of all time. We are approaching a solar minimum which we can observe. We can see how solar activity is declining.

And we now have two competing theories that have made predictions as to what impact the solar minimum, never mind a grand solar minimum if it were to happen, will have on the climate.

We have the conventional IPCC consensus which suggests that it will have a negligible influence and that the next 20 years will see a warming of somewhere between 0.4 and 0.6 degree Celsius.

And we have the alternative theory that suggests that solar inactivity will have a dampening effect on global temperatures. This would mean that in the next 20 years the warming trend will either be much smaller or will return almost back to Pause conditions, where we see hardly any warming. So we now have a big test in front of us. —Benny Peiser, 4 April 2018


It surely looks like the solar minimum has arrived, and it has done so far earlier than expected! March 2018 was the least active month for sunspots since the middle of 2009, almost nine years ago. If the solar minimum has actually arrived now, this would make this cycle only ten years long, one of the shortest solar cycles on record. More important, it is a weak cycle. In the past, all short cycles were active cycles. This is the first time we have seen a short and weak cycle since scientists began tracking the solar cycle in the 1700s, following the last grand minimum in the 1600s when there were almost no sunspots. The big question remains: Are we about to head into a grand minimum, as happened during the Maunder Minimum in the 1600s? —Robert Zimmerman, Behind The Black, 9 April 2018


New NASA measurements of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, part of the global ocean conveyor belt that helps regulate climate around the North Atlantic, show no significant slowing over the past 15 years. The data suggest the circulation may have even sped up slightly in the recent past. —NASA, 25 March 2010


In contrast to recent claims of a Gulf Stream slowdown, two decades of directly measured velocity across the current show no evidence of a decrease. – T. Rossby et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 14 December 2013

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Comments 2

  1. Sonnyhill says:
    8 years ago

    Al Gore has lost control of the Sun, like an autonomous Tesla.

  2. Spurwing Plover says:
    8 years ago

    The sun maybe 93 million males away but it has more influance on our weather then to all the SUV’s and backyard BBQ’s put together

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