A new peer-reviewed paper published in The American Journal of Economics and Sociology (May and Crok, 2024) counters the prevailing “wisdom” that says a warmer climate and greener vegetation are problematic. [emphasis, links added]
The authors detail the horrors of the much colder Little Ice Age that destroyed civilizations (crop failures, summerless years).
Half the population of Finland and 15% of Scotland’s citizens died off in the 1690s due primarily to cold-induced famines and frozen-over water supplies.
Elevated CO2 and warmth are 70% and 8% responsible, respectively, for a much greener, more vegetated landscape across the world since the 1980s.
The incidence and severity of storms, hurricanes, floods, and extreme weather in general have undergone flat to declining trends over the last several decades.
Thus, “it is hard to find any unusual weather or weather-related disaster that can be blamed on climate change, whether natural or anthropogenic.”
“52 of 53 studies of disaster losses due to extreme weather were unable to attribute the events to human causes…”
The US government estimates that the warming since 1950 has reduced the country’s gross domestic product by less than 0.5%, and an estimated 3°C of warming by 2100 only reduces the GDP by less than 1%.
Considering the US economy grew by 800% from 1950 to the present, this means any assumed “damage” from a warmer climate and elevated CO2 would not be detectable.
The quest to “save” the world from warming and elevated CO2 is devoid of scientific and socioeconomic merit.
Read more at No Tricks Zone
In my view the world is poised to enter a 30 year period of colder weather similar to the little ice age 1645 to 1712. No government anywhere is preparing for this and the measures set out in Net Zero will seriously exacerbate events.
Can you explain this for more clarification? Is this related to Sun output or other forces like volcanos?
James, Peter did not answer your question but I can tell you that the most prominent theory is solar. Some solar scientists say that the sun is on the path to repeat its output during the mini age. Personally I don’t advocate this as something we can know will happen, but it is a risk. If it would come to pass then the reduction in agricultural output would kill billions. And yes, action on Net Zero would make it worse.
However, this is one area where mankind could intervene. Things like a mini ice age happen with the help of feed back loops. As the earth cools there is more ice. Ice reflects more heat back into space than the ground below it. This further cools the earth and there is more ice. Soot is extremely effective in melting ice. Concentration too low for the human eye to notice can do so. If the earth does start to cool to our detriment, all we need to do is apply soot to critical areas.