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March CO2 Levels Show No Obvious Decline From Near-Global Shutdown

by Roy Spencer, Ph.D.
April 08, 2020, 10:54 AM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
4

earth maskThe COVID-19 disease spread is causing a worldwide shutdown in economic activity as businesses close, airlines cancel flights, and people shelter in their homes.

For example, there was a 28% decline in global commercial air traffic in March 2020 compared to March of last year.

Last month, I described a simple method for removing the large seasonal cycle from the Mauna Loa CO2 data, as well as the average effects from El Nino and La Nina (the removal is noisy and imperfect), in an effort to capture the underlying trend in CO2 and to provide a baseline to compare future months’ measurements, too.

What we are looking for is any evidence of a decline in the atmospheric CO2 content that would be strong enough to attribute to the economic downturn.

As can be seen, the latest CO2 data show a slight downturn, but it’s not yet out of the ordinary compare to previous month-to-month downturns.

I personally doubt we will see a clear COVID-19 effect in the CO2 data in the coming months, but I would be glad to be proved wrong.

As I mentioned last month, those who view the economic downturn as an opportunity to reduce atmospheric CO2 would have to wait many years — even decades — before we would see the impact of a large economic downturn on global temperatures, which would occur at great cost to humanity, especially the poor.

Image by FunkyFocus from Pixabay

Read more at Dr. Roy’s Blog

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Comments 4

  1. Mike Cross says:
    6 years ago

    Here in the northern hemisphere(UK) a mild winter has initiated a greater than normal greening growth rate which always causes a drop of about 0.7 ppm…. the extent of the greening is in any case increasing due to increased in CO2 concentration,…. all my garden’s plants love it and I run my greenhouse at ca 1500 ppm from a fraction of the gas boiler exhaust

  2. Spurwing Plover says:
    6 years ago

    Just more proof that this whole idiotic idea that the earth is Fragile is just load of total Malarkey

  3. Chaamjamal says:
    6 years ago

    “I personally doubt we will see a clear COVID-19 effect in the CO2 data in the coming months, but I would be glad to be proved wrong”

    There is no evidence that atmospheric conposition is responsive to emissions

    https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/11/16/agw-issues/

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