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Global Economic Downturn Not Affecting CO2 Rise: May 2020

by Roy W. Spencer, Ph.D.
June 06, 2020, 8:23 AM
in News and Opinion
A A
5
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upper atmosphere sky clouds(While there has been a reduction in CO2 emissions, CO2 concentrations continue to rise globally.) The Mauna Loa atmospheric CO2 concentration data continue to show no reduction in the rate of rising due to the recent global economic slowdown.

This demonstrates how difficult it is to reduce global CO2 emissions without causing a major disruption to the global economy and exacerbation of poverty.

After removal of the strong seasonal cycle in Mauna Loa CO2 data, and a first-order estimate of the CO2 influence of El Nino and La Nina activity (ENSO), the May 2020 update shows no indication of a reduction in the rate of rising in the last few months when the reduction in economic activity should have shown up.

I had previously explained why the slowdown would likely not be large enough to affect measured atmospheric CO2 levels compared to natural variations in global sources and sinks of CO2.

I calculated that the Energy Information Administration-estimated 11% reductions in CO2 emissions during 2020 would have to be four times larger to stop the rise of atmospheric CO2 over 2019 values (assuming no substantial natural variations in CO2 sources and sinks).

Read more at Dr. Roy’s Blog

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Comments 5

  1. Spurwing Plover says:
    5 years ago

    Volcano’s have more effects on our weather then dose all the Factories ever do

  2. Gumnut says:
    5 years ago

    This merely proves that killing the economy is insufficient. We need to go back in time and obliterate from history the economy’s very existence…

    And, yes, I am being sarcastic.

  3. chaamjamal says:
    5 years ago

    CLAIM: “The Mauna Loa atmospheric CO2 concentration data continue to show no reduction in the rate of rise due to the recent global economic slowdown. This demonstrates how difficult it is to reduce global CO2 emissions without causing a major disruption”

    RESPONSE: No. It is because atmospheric composition is not responsive to fossil fuel emissions.

    And since that assumed responsiveness is the fundamental basis of agw climate change and climate action, it further shows that no empirical evidence exists to support the assumed ability of humans to change atmospheric composition.

    And yet that assumed ability of humans is the only basis of the theory of AGW climate change and the call for climate action to fine tune global temperature.

    All of that stuff is a statistics fairy tale.

    https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/05/31/the-carbon-cycle-measurement-problem/

    https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/12/19/co2responsiveness/

  4. Spurwing Plover says:
    5 years ago

    he facts that all this poppycock trying to connect all this use of Fossil Fuels is still based on Junk Science and pure speculation

  5. Freeman says:
    5 years ago

    There’s your proof.

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