Europe’s energy crunch is set to last as electricity prices climbed to fresh records, fueling inflation, and raising bills for millions of households and industries across the continent.
Power prices for delivery next year surged over 15% in Germany and almost 14% in France by Wednesday’s market close as freezing weather has forced European utilities to burn more gas, coal, and even oil to keep the lights on.
High prices this month are spilling into futures contracts for the following years, a sign that the crunch could last longer than many expected.
“There is still a lot of winter left,” said Arne Bergvik, chief analyst at Swedish utility Jamtkraft AB. A cold start will create “high energy prices for the rest of the season as the optionality to use stored gas or hydropower later is lost.”
The world is facing energy shortages as economies recover from the pandemic, boosting demand. At the same time, supply hasn’t been able to keep up due to years of lower investments in fossil fuels.
Europe’s wide network of renewable energy sources has also struggled, with low wind speeds reducing output for most of the year.
German power for next year, a European benchmark, reached 192 euros ($218) a megawatt-hour, while the equivalent French contract surged to as high as 222.75 euros before closing at 222.50 euros.
As utilities burn more fossil fuels, carbon prices surged to a record 90.75 euros a metric ton, with options traders betting prices will hit 100 euros before the end of the year. Carbon closed at 88.88 euros.
For consumers, higher gas and power prices are adding to an increase in food and transport costs. Bank of England Deputy Governor for Monetary Policy Ben Broadbent said this week that U.K. inflation may surpass 5% early next year.
That could happen as energy regulator Ofgem allows utilities to raise prices for consumers again in April.
Europe has been shifting away from fossil fuels in a bid to reduce emissions, and it has also curbed its use of nuclear power. That’s leaving the continent to rely on renewable power such as wind and solar, which are intermittent sources.
The retirement of conventional power plants that can be quickly turned on and off “is increasing the impact of renewable energy production on market pricing,” commodities trader Trafigura Group said in its annual report.
“The structural shift away from coal and nuclear towards wind and solar is also causing severe strains in the power system.”
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The rising cost of the electricity bill especially affects those who, unfortunately, had decided to make an environmentally sustainable choice by buying an electric car. In fact, as the cost of electricity has risen, so has the cost of the gas: in this way, all the work put into providing information, convincing people to switch to an electric vehicle, and explaining global warming, is useless. As much as the green argument is at heart, the cost of maintaining a car also has a value: an intermediate solution must be found that allows drivers to charge the battery of their electric car at a reasonable cost, otherwise the market for EV’s will undoubtedly suffer a slow decline.
Soon only the Wealthy will be able to afford heating their homes while the rest of the People have to either freeze or burn wood and all over a fake threat of Global Warming/Climate Change