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Debunked: New Computer-Simulated Pine Island Glacier Doomsday Paper Ignores Science

by Pierre Gosselin
May 03, 2021, 2:25 PM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 3 mins read
A A
3

field camp on pine island glacierA recent paper announcing Pine Island Glacier doom failed to consider other findings showing the glacier is in fact more stable than assumed.

A new paper by Rosier et al concludes – based on model simulations – that the Pine Island, West Antarctic glacier (pictured) may have already surpassed one of the three dangerous tipping points, prompting the media to issue warnings of doom, so reports Die kalte Sonne here in its latest information video.

The scientists fear that should the Amundsen Sea water temperature rise 1.2°C, the Pine Island Glacier would retreat and trigger the collapse of the entire West Antarctic Ice Shelf (WAIS, which in turn would mean a rapid global sea-level rise of over three meters.

Involved in the the Rosier et al study was Stefan Rahmstorf-mentored researcher Ricarda Winkelmann of the Potsdam Institute.

But other publications show no doomsday

However, as Die kalte Sonne points out, the team of scientists ignored a vast body of science that contradicts their dire findings.

For example, a 2017 publication by Bingham et al explains how the researchers actually surveyed to mighty Pine Island glacier (PIG) and found that the terrain’s characteristics would in fact slow down the retreat even under a warming climate:

Also, a 2014 publication by Beem et al found that another glacier in the region had seen a deceleration in retreat over the previous 50 years.

Volcanoes, natural cycles at play

In 2018, a paper by Loose et al found that the Pine Island glacier was sitting over volcanic activity, which was providing heat for melting.

Also, another 2014 publication by Witus et al found that over the Holocene there have been repeated periods of rapid ice melt at Pine Island:

Collapse improbable

And again in 2018, a publication by Barletta et al found that “observed bedrock uplift” in fact would likely stabilize the Pine Island Glacier “and make a collapse improbable.”

Die kalte Sonne brings up the question: Why were these earlier studies – many based on observations –  ignored by Rosier et al?

“Hard to believe they were,” says the Die kalte Sonne video report. Surely they must have been aware of these publications?

Amundsen Sea cooling!

Also very peculiar is the fact that Rosier et al also seem to ignore the data from the ARGO measurement buoys in the area.

Recall that sea surface temperatures there (Amundsen Sea) rising 1.2°C would mean passing the third and final “dangerous” tipping point and lead to WAIS collapse.

So what’s the trend there?

The Amundsen Sea has been cooling over the past 15 years!

Die kalte Sonne summarzes:

The [Rosier et al] tipping point paper with the PIK penmanship on it doesn’t look so convincing and ignores everything that doesn’t fit their own idea.”

Read more at No Tricks Zone

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Comments 3

  1. Chaamjamal says:
    4 years ago

    The relevant geological features of west antarctica described here
    https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/04/04/pine-island-glacier-tipping-point/

    Reply
  2. Spurwing Plover says:
    4 years ago

    The only thing that matters to them is Politics as usial and the New World Order

    Reply
  3. David Lewis says:
    4 years ago

    The standard mode of operation of the climate change movement is to ignore everything that doesn’t support their cause. They not only ignore data, but some times if the data contradicts their position they will replace it with simulated data. They can do this because of the cooperation of the mainstream media.

    The main thing that differentiates West Antarctica from the rest of the continent is a much higher level of volcanic activity. This activity has been increasing over the past 50 years. West Antarctica has 500 volcanoes all of which are active and or semi activity. Changes in West Antarctica attributed to climate change are best explained by volcanic activity. From the article, “the collapse of the entire West Antarctic Ice Shelf (WAIS, which in turn would mean a rapid global sea-level rise of over three meters.” It is true we face the danger that West Antarctic Ice might collapse, but don’t blame climate change. If it happens it will be caused by volcanic activity.

    Reply

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