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Data Shows Notable Slowdown Of Greenland Snow And Ice Melt Since 2012

by Pierre Gosselin
November 16, 2021, 9:01 AM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
3

greenland glacierData from the Danish Polar Portal shows Greenland ice melt slowing significantly over the past 10 years. Increasingly rapid ice-mass loss is a myth.

German climate site Die kalte Sonne here looks at whether Greenland is really melting faster or not in its 78th climate and energy video (3rd segment).

Satellite measurements have allowed accurate measurements over the years and so reliable trends are detectable.

Greenland has added mass since July

Over the past year, since September 2020, Greenland has seen a number of heavy snowfalls, as depicted by the solid blue line in the chart by the Danish polarportal.dk:

Image cropped: Die kalte Sonne.

When looking at the net gain or loss in billions of tonnes, we see a net gain since July (blue curve):

Image cropped: Die kalte Sonne.

The last months stand in stark contrast compared to the large net loss seen in 2012, depicted by the red curve.

Despite the recent 30 billion tons of net gain beginning in July, that didn’t stop media outlets like Der Spiegel from announcing doomsday warnings of runaway ice melt.

Greenland mass loss rate has declined significantly

Another important aspect of Greenland ice-mass change is the data measurements of the ice edge and calving rates, in addition to the surface mass variations.

Each year, the Danish Polar Portal reports the sum of both these factors. “This determines whether Greenland ice is growing or shrinking,” says Die kalte Sonne.

The following chart plots the total mass-balance changes since 1985:

Image cropped: Die kalte Sonne.

Greenland ice-mass change bottomed out in 2012 and has been seeing less and less loss for 15 years. Each year, ice-mass loss has been declining.

Currently, Greenland’s mass-balance change is at levels seen in 2000. The days of rapid ice-mass loss are behind us, at least for now. The year 2021 is expected to come in at -100 gigatonnes. In 2017 and 2018, ice mass was actually added.

False media narrative

When it comes to Greenland’s ice mass, Die kalte Sonne summarizes: “The usual media narrative of an alleged increasingly rapid ice melt in Greenland is thus not correct.”

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Comments 3

  1. David Lewis says:
    4 years ago

    One thing that the article failed to mention is that volcanic activity impact ice melts in Greenland.

  2. Richard Greene says:
    4 years ago

    The total Greenland ice mass is estimated at 2.7 million gigatons.
    The melting mentioned in the article is less than the margin of error
    in the above total ice mass — equivalent to a rounding error
    Inconsequential if melting continues or stops.
    At the current rate all the ice will be melted in 5000 to 10000 years.

  3. Spurwing Plover says:
    4 years ago

    Totaly ignored by the M.S. media and Eco-Freaks as well as theusial Global Warming/Climate Change Con Men like Gore and DiCaprio

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