Less than 24 hours after likely air turbulence caused injuries and even a death on a Singapore-bound, Singapore Airlines fight, CNN reporter Jacopo Prisco was quick to raise the specter of climate change as the cause. [emphasis, links added]
There is no real-world connection between long-term climate change and trends in air turbulence or air injuries.
There is no data whatsoever indicating climate change threatens to cause an increase in unstable air currents, and the data that does exist shows that even as the planet has slightly warmed, in-flight injuries from turbulence have declined or remained relatively flat, even as the number of fliers and miles flown have increased dramatically.
The reader might notice the phrase “likely air turbulence” in the paragraph above. That’s because, although from the experience of the aircraft and the testimony of the passengers and flight crew, turbulence was the most likely cause of the deadly mishap until the flight recorders are checked and the plane examined; we can’t know for certain that no other issues were contributing to or causing the jet’s unexpected sharp drop in altitude and erratic flight for a short period thereafter.
Despite its title, most of CNN’s story, “Climate change could be about to make flight turbulence a lot worse,” is a straightforward discussion of the various types and degrees of turbulence, how it can affect flights and cause injuries, and how many people experience in-flight turbulence and injuries each year.
So far so good, straight reporting in the aftermath of a horrific, ultimately deadly, air incident.
Not content to stick with the facts, however, Prisco then brings in the climate change angle, quoting Paul Williams, a professor of atmospheric science at the University of Reading in the UK, who told Prisco that he:
believes that climate change is modifying turbulence, and started studying the subject in 2013. “We ran some computer simulations and found that severe turbulence could double or triple in the coming decades,” he says.
…
Williams’ analysis predicts that clear-air turbulence will increase significantly around the globe by the period 2050-2080, in particular along the busiest flight routes, and the strongest type of turbulence will increase the most.
Of course, the flight computer simulations use inputs from climate models to produce their outputs of future conditions. The problem is model forecasts are only as good as the assumptions and data that are input into them.
But, as Climate Realism has discussed repeatedly here, here, here, and here, for example, climate models are woefully flawed, consistently producing forecasts that don’t match the temperature and other weather and climate conditions that the world is experiencing.
As a result, Williams’ forecast of worsening turbulence is a case of what is known in the sciences as “Garbage in, Garbage out!”
Sadly, almost every time a flight encounters serious turbulence, especially if it results in injuries, the mainstream media is quick to claim climate change is making flying more dangerous.
Citing real-world data, Climate Realism has debunked this pathetic attempt to tie greenhouse gas emissions to in-flight turbulence several times in the past, including our rebuttal to the BBC last year.
Repeating the same lie over and over again, even if one thinks it is for a good cause like preventing a purported climate crisis, does not make it the truth.
The facts about trends in turbulence amidst modest warming are that there is no increasing trend.
A 2021 report by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) plotted accident data related to turbulence, finding no statistically significant increase since 1989, despite a tremendous increase in passengers and miles flown. See Figure 1 below:
If turbulence had increased due to climate change as CNN’s story implies, there would be a clear upward trend demonstrated in the graph.
Instead, turbulence-related aircraft accidents have held steady since about 1995, even as the number of people traveling and the number of airline miles traveled has increased dramatically globally.
CNN’s decision to allow Prisco to act like a vulture before the body was cold, promoting false climate alarm, sans evidence, was an awful exercise of judgment.
Even before the poor 71-year-old man from Britain who died during the Singapore Airlines had been laid to rest, and even as dozens of people injured on the flight remained hospitalized, Prisco made hay of the tragedy to promote a political narrative about ‘dangerous’ climate change.
This is a disgusting indicator of the state of the modern media. This story is just one instance, perhaps explaining why trust in journalists has fallen so dramatically over the years as those tied to the mainstream media have repeatedly parroted claims made by activists, politicians, and special interests about myriad recent scientific and political controversies and policies, only to have those claims and narratives falsified again and again.
Such stories might suggest to any thoughtful observer that the press, with alarming regularity, misrepresents, covers up, and even fabricates stories in pursuit of an agenda.
Top photo by Tim Dennert on Unsplash
Read more at Climate Realism
The Communists Nazi News is just the typical leftists propaganda we get from the rest the M.S. Media its no wonder Americans are losing their trust of t he M.S. News
So a jet that mysteriously went down years ago is used to justify saying that climate-causing air turbulent caused it to go down and yet not another single aircraft has disappeared into the abyss caused by such turbulence. If that was the cause wouldn’t we be expecting them to be dropping out of the sky in higher frequency as we’ve supposedly ignored the pleas to give up our lifestyles and yet continued to dump vast millions of tons of CO2 in the air since then? So apparently there is no correlation between increasing CO2 with planes falling from the sky since a case of one plane years ago does not make a pattern.