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Climatologist: No Rise In Climate Disasters Despite Record CO2

25 years of data reveal the gap between climate rhetoric and disaster trends.

by Dr. Matthew Wielicki
February 20, 2025, 2:44 PM
in Extreme Weather, Media, News and Opinion
Reading Time: 3 mins read
A A
3

extreme weather storm
In previous articles, I’ve delved into the discourse surrounding climate-related natural disasters and their purported increase due to rising greenhouse gas emissions. [emphasis, links added]

Today, I aim to update this analysis with the most recent data from 2024, a year that mainstream media (MSM) has widely proclaimed as the hottest on record.

For instance, The Guardian reported that two-thirds of the Earth’s surface experienced record-breaking heat in 2024, attributing this to human-induced climate change.

Source

Despite these alarming headlines, an examination of the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) reveals a different narrative.

The data indicates that since 2000 there has been no significant increase in climate-related natural disasters such as extreme weather events, wildfires, droughts, and floods.

This finding challenges the prevalent assertion that higher CO2 emissions and rising global temperatures directly correlate with an uptick in such disasters.

Analyzing the EM-DAT Data:

EM-DAT, maintained by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED), offers a comprehensive global record of natural and technological disasters.

Focusing on climate-related events, specifically floods, droughts, extreme temperatures, storms, and wildfires, I observed that from 2000 to 2022, the frequency of these events remained relatively stable.

Contrary to popular belief, certain years in the early 2000s even recorded higher counts than more recent years.

This finding is particularly intriguing given that the 21st century has seen unprecedented CO2 emissions and supposedly some of the hottest years on record.

If the widely accepted narrative held true, we would expect a corresponding increase in climate-related natural disasters.

The absence of such a trend in the EM-DAT data suggests that the relationship between GHG emissions, rising global temperatures, and [disaster frequency] is more complex than often portrayed. …snip…

Focusing on Climate-Related Events:

In my analysis, I concentrated solely on climate-related natural disasters, deliberately excluding technological events, epidemics, and geophysical occurrences like earthquakes.

This focus aligns with the prevalent narrative that links GHG emissions and global warming specifically to an increase in climate-related events.

By isolating these categories, the analysis directly addresses the claims that such disasters have escalated in frequency due to human-induced climate change.

Challenging the Mainstream Narrative:

Despite the EM-DAT data, mainstream media and authoritative bodies continue to assert that extreme weather events are increasing due to climate change.

For instance, a recent article in The Guardian emphasized that we are living in an era of extreme weather, citing rampant wildfires, floods, and other natural disasters displacing countless individuals.

Source

Similarly, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has stated…

Source 

These assertions contribute to a pervasive belief that climate-related disasters are on the rise, a narrative that is not substantiated by the EM-DAT data.


Irrational Fear is written by climatologist Dr. Matthew Wielicki and is reader-supported. If you value what you have read here, please consider subscribing and supporting the work that goes into it.

Read full post at Irrational Fear

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Comments 3

  1. Spurwing Plover says:
    8 months ago

    So according to The Garbage Can(Guardian) 2/3rd of the Earth Felt the effects Global Warming/Climate Change Just more of their Fake News

  2. David Lewis says:
    8 months ago

    The climate change narrative has three very basic assumptions that have never been proven.

    1) Mankind’s emissions are increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. One data point that is contrary to this assumption is during COVID man’s emissions dropped, but there was no change in the increasing level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.

    2) At the current atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, increasing carbon dioxide warms the earth. Yet empirical data shows when 40% of the warming blamed on man occurred between 1910 and 1941, the carbon dioxide levels were relatively low and raising very slowly.

    3) Warmer temperatures and higher carbon dioxide levels cause an increase in the number and severity of natural disasters. The above article clearly shows that isn’t happening.

  3. Spurwing Plover says:
    8 months ago

    So far w e have not had any Global Wide Storms to wipe us all out despite what these Eco-Nuts and M.S. Media tell us

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