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Alarmists Cook Up Warming Scare As Planet Cools

by James Delingpole
February 08, 2019, 3:55 PM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 5 mins read
A A
9

earth fire burnThe planet is cooling. Clearly, this isn’t something the alarmists want you to hear, especially when they’ve got a shiny, expensive, new bridge to sell you with Green New Deal stamped on the side.

So to help out, the Climate Industrial Complex has played its usual trick of ramping up the climate scaremongering.

Here’s NASA (your tax dollar at work, funding greenie propaganda):

Global temperatures in 2018 were 1.5 degrees Fahrenheit (0.83 degrees Celsius) warmer than the 1951 to 1980 mean, according to scientists at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York.

Globally, 2018’s temperatures rank behind those of 2016, 2017 and 2015. The past five years are, collectively, the warmest years in the modern record.

“2018 is yet again an extremely warm year on top of a long-term global warming trend,” said GISS Director Gavin Schmidt.

Since the 1880s, the average global surface temperature has risen about 2 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius).

This warming has been driven in large part by increased emissions into the atmosphere of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases caused by human activities, according to Schmidt.

Here’s the AP’s resident green prophet of doom Seth Borenstein:

While 2018 was the fourth-warmest year on record, British meteorologists are predicting the next five years will be much hotter, maybe even record-breaking.

Two U.S. agencies, the United Kingdom Met Office and the World Meteorological Organization analyzed global temperatures in slightly different ways, but each came to the same conclusion Wednesday: 2018 was the fourth-warmest year on record behind 2016, 2015 and 2017.

Yes, of course, they all came to the same conclusion because they are run by politicized hacks who all sing from the same hymn sheet.

But look at those scary claims more closely and you’ll notice something they would rather you hadn’t noticed: If 2018 is not as hot as 2016, 2017, and 2015, that means the planet is cooling not warming.

In truth, these “hottest year evah” claims are pretty meaningless anyway.

Marc Morano lays to rest this zombie argument in his book The Politically Incorrect Guide to Climate Change.

While such years as 2005, 2010, 2014, and 2015 were declared the hottest years by global warming proponents, a closer examination revealed that the claims were based on year-to-year temperature data that differs by only a few hundredths of a degree to up to a few tenths of a degree—differences that were within the margin of error in the surface data.

And the satellite data disagreed with the surface datasets.

When an El Niño–fueled 2016 was declared “hottest year,” the temperature rise from 2015 also failed to exceed the margin of error, or exceeded it just barely—depending on which of the multiple temperature datasets were reporting.

A 2017 analysis by astrophysicist David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation, said, “According to NOAA, 2016 was 0.07°F warmer than 2015, which is 0.04°C. Considering the error in the annual temperature is +/- 0.1°C this makes 2016 statistically indistinguishable from 2015, making any claim of a record using NOAA data specious.”

To repeat (and assuming that it is even possible to accurately calculate global temperature data), we are talking about differences in global temperature so tiny that they are smaller than the error margins: so, in scientific terms, unreliable to the point of uselessness.

Morano goes on to quote arguably the doyen of all climate experts, MIT emeritus professor Richard Lindzen:

The former MIT professor believes the “hottest year” claims are returning us to a bygone era.

“To imply that a rise of temperature of a tenth of a degree is proof that the world is coming to an end—has to take one back to the dark ages,” he explained in 2017.

“As long as you can get people excited as to whether it’s a tenth of a degree warmer or cooler, then you don’t have to think, you can assume everyone who is listening to you is an idiot.

“The whole point is so crazy because the temperature is always going up or down a little. What is astonishing is that in the last 20 years it hasn’t done much of anything,” he added.

“What they don’t mention is there has been a big El Nino in 2016 and in recent months the temperature has been dropping back into a zero trend level.”

But the skullduggery and dishonesty do not end there.

Paul Matthews has been looking at the UK Met Office’s “forecast suggests Earth’s warmest period on record” claim, announced with much fanfare by such loyal MSM shills as the BBC.

The first thing he notes is that the Met Office seems to be in denial of its own graph, which shows recent cooling:

meto-2019-2023c

The climate scientists quoted seem to be in denial of the recent cooling shown in their own graph, claiming that the Earth’s average global temperature has ‘remained close’ to the 2015 peak.

But it gets fishier still.

Notice the missing red-pink bit on the graph between 2015–2019. Did the Met Office make no forecasts in that period?

Well, in fact, they did. Here is the Decadal Forecast 2016 (confusingly, published in Jan 2017), which included this graph:

meto2016

In other words, the Met Office forecast warming that never transpired and is now trying to cover its embarrassment.

Roger Tallbloke has come up with a chart of his own which shows the inaccuracy of the Met Office’s forecasts:

met-o-2016-2021-detail-1

Looking at the median value in the blue envelope at the current date, the MET-O has missed by around 0.35C. This is not a good result for the MET-O climate model. Why might it be running so hot?

We think it could be that the met-O’s climatologists have been fixating on carbon dioxide and the alleged ‘enhanced greenhouse effect’ our emissions are supposed to be creating, and have ignored the Sun.

We’re currently heading into a deep solar minimum, and the indications are that the excess energy built up in the oceans during the late C20th grand solar maximum is starting to run low.

Don’t sell your coat.

Oh and don’t trust a word these people say, either. They are all charlatans.

Read more at Breitbart

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Comments 9

  1. Squidly says:
    7 years ago

    Yeah, I’m really going to believe their data … pfffttt…

    New Video : 61% Fake Data
    https://realclimatescience.com/2019/02/new-video-61-fake-data/

    61% Of NOAA USHCN Adjusted Temperature Data Is Now Fake
    https://realclimatescience.com/2019/02/61-of-noaa-ushcn-adjusted-temperature-data-is-now-fake/

  2. Russell Johnson says:
    7 years ago

    Looking at these numbers in a personal and practical manner; if NASA or NOAA were managing your 401K would anyone be happy with a gain of a few 100’s from last year’s total? I think not. The advocates of drastic measures (Democrats) to “fight” climate change they say is a result of AGW is a huge deception supported by a constant barrage of misinformation by their media partners and captive bureaucrats. Why are they rushing to implement measures to reduce CO2 you ask? Cooling is coming soon and they want to be in a position to claim credit and validate their carbon taxes forever.

  3. Jim M says:
    7 years ago

    Very well written, I wish we could get others to understand what a very expensive travesty this has become.

    Thank you Mr. Delingpole for writing this and Climate Change Dispatch for posting it. Should be mandatory reading for everyone.

  4. Amber says:
    7 years ago

    Natural gas spot prices in the North West hit over $30 this week end and it wasn’t from global warming As the easy shale gas disappears people be praying for some global warming .
    The global warming con game has cost $trillions and causes premature
    fuel poverty deaths in the 10′ of thousands per year yet we have a retired bar tender/politician claiming the earth will end in about 10 years.
    Please run on this ticket Democrats .

  5. Sonnyhill says:
    7 years ago

    I agree with Professor Lindzen, that the warmists have induced panic over tiny fractions of a degree. The fake panic starts with the MSM headlines, repeated like drum beats, day in, day out. Another feat of the Left is that they have convinced so many people that using fossil fuels is immoral, that 7 billion humans shalt not alter the Earth. That warmer is dangerous, without acknowledging the potential damage of cooling .
    Another joke is believing that western societies can go their own way, oblivious to China and India. The Chinese and Indians are not worried. They haven’t been brainwashed.

  6. David Lewis says:
    7 years ago

    NOAA has also made grand announcements that a certain month was the warmest ever. For the few people who know the details, this warmest ever has been within a few hundreds of a degree. It is within the error band and even if it wasn’t the difference is so small as to be insignificant. However, the way the main stream media presents people believe they are talking about a few dregress rather than few hundreds of a degree.

  7. Roger Payne says:
    7 years ago

    Quoting temperature rise since 1880 is a cheat: that time was the dying phase of the Dalton/Maunder minimum, the “mini ice age”, and temperatures began to rise, with newspaper articles appearing around 1900. So indeed it is warmer than in 1880, the mini ice age had ended. Also, the years 1951 to 1980 were a known cooling period, harsh winters). So why select such periods?

  8. Spurwing Plover says:
    7 years ago

    All this Go Green Stop Global Warming,Go Vegan Etc all ruse to get us to change the way we live to appease a bunch of granola bar muchers and tree huggers

  9. Frank says:
    7 years ago

    Well, I could predict that temperatures will keep on rising, too, if I was continually raising the base temperature artificially as well.

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