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Alarmist Media Push Absurd Sea-Level Rise Study

by Anthony Watts
May 11, 2020, 3:52 PM
in News and Opinion
Reading Time: 2 mins read
A A
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sea level rise liberty nyThe news media today is breathlessly promoting a ridiculous “study” claiming sea level will rise up to four feet by the year 2100.

The study and the many fawning media reports on the study are completely ridiculous.

With sea levels currently rising at a pace of approximately one foot per century, sea-level rise would have to – immediately, starting today – quadruple its pace and sustain that quadrupled pace without interruption for all of the next 80 years.

That is simply preposterous.

To begin, here is how EcoWatch reports the study:

If nations fail to act, and current emissions lead to warming of 4.5 degrees, then sea levels are predicted to rise between 0.6 and 1.3 meters by 2100 and between 1.7 and 5.6 meters by 2300.

The predictions are based on a survey of 106 of the world’s leading sea level researchers, carried out by scientists from Nanyang Technological University (NTU) and co-authored by researchers from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and published in the Nature Partner Journal Climate and Atmospheric Science.

The key to the prediction is the assertion that many massive Antarctic ice sheets will imminently collapse into the sea. Just last year, however, scientists published research showing such a scenario is not likely to happen anytime soon.

As pointed out by climate realists, and summarized by The Atlantic, “[collapse of] ice cliffs might simply be a product of running a computer model of ice physics at a too-low resolution.”

Then there’s real-world data, reported in Climate at a Glance: Sea Level Rise:

  • Global sea level has been rising since at least the mid-1800s, and data show there has been only a minor recent acceleration.
  • NASA satellite instruments, with readings dating back to 1993, show global sea level recently rising at a pace of merely 1.2 inches per decade (1 foot per century).
  • Human civilization successfully dealt with sea-level rise utilizing nineteenth and twentieth-century technologies, and it will be able to adapt to rising sea levels even more successfully in the coming decades by utilizing twenty-first-century technologies.

Global sea level has been rising at a relatively steady pace of approximately one foot per century since at least the mid-1800s. There has been no significant recent acceleration.

Yet the media-hyped study claims sea-level rise will immediately quadruple and sustain that pace for the rest of the century.

Not likely.

Read more at Climate Realism

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Comments 5

  1. chaamjamal says:
    5 years ago

    Here is a critical review of that study

    https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/05/11/slr-fearology/

  2. Sonnyhill says:
    5 years ago

    Civilization is drawn to water. Look at any map and where are the cities? Why live in the low spots and complain too much water ? Where the water ISN’T is where the people aren’t.

  3. Rhee says:
    5 years ago

    Gene need only control his fingers if he disagrees with the content of this site, yes site – IT AIN’T A LIST – so that he won’t be bubbling with angst when reading truth. But his lying self won’t restrain his fingers, we already know that.

  4. Gene Ziegler says:
    5 years ago

    How do I get off this list? The material published here is pushing an agenda that is no more rational than the climate crowd. Try a little objective reporting for a change.

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      • Rules for Climate Radicals: Part 3
      • Why CO2 Is A Minor Player In Global Climate
      • Why Politicized Science Is So Dangerous
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      • Climate Change Fears Are Empirically Baseless
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      • Global Warming Q&A
      • Understanding The Medieval Warm Period
      • Ocean Cycles and Climate
      • Overview of Plate Climatology Theory
      • Precautionary Principle
      • Should We Celebrate Carbon Dioxide?
      • The Skeptics Handbook
      • Weather Versus Climate
      • Why I’m a GW skeptic
      • Winning the climate debate with facts
      • Why Aliens Cause Global Warming
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      • How much have temps changed?
      • How much have temps changed?
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      • How Gore Created The Global Warming Hoax
    • Inside Real Climate
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      • IPCC gets failing grade
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      • What is there a 97% consensus about?
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