Michael ‘hockey stick’ Mann doubles down on his crumbling SLAPP lawsuit versus Tim Ball with a statement of denial from his lawyer posted on Mann’s Facebook page and tagged with #FakeNews. In a screed of hand-waving assertions, the statement fails to deny Mann abused process, breached a written undertaking during the trial and, as a consequence, now faces the most serious court sanctions.
Earlier this week an emboldened Dr. Tim Ball, Canada’s most famous skeptic climatologist, came out, all guns blazing with stunning news in what is billed as the “science trial of the century.” The outcome of this case will have grave knock-on implications on the validity of all government secret science relied upon in the hotly-contested ‘man-made global warming’ debate.
Conspicuously, Mann’s attorney, Roger McConchie, who “literally wrote the book” on Canadian libel law, does not deny Mann is in breach of a legally-binding undertaking signed by both parties last February. It turns out Mann duped Ball into signing a deal that gave Mann more time (as if six years of litigation time wasn’t enough!).
In return, Mann agreed to hand over his secret ‘hockey stick’ graph data used for the validation of hundreds of science papers ‘proving’ humans are dangerously warming the planet. So crucial is Mann’s ‘science’ to the climate debate that when Ball called him out for fakery six years ago (by declaring Mann “belongs in the state pen, not Penn. State”), he rolled out a multi-million-dollar legal machine to crush 79-year-old Ball.
After Ball’s astonishing news that Mann went bad on that deal his colleagues at Principia Scientific International posted a damning article in support of their co-founder, which went viral.
Ball told of how Mann contemptuously broke that agreement and did not release his hidden, and thus disputed, ‘hockey stick’ graph data. Mann’s breach of that formal undertaking, even in the deluded mind of a green activist, is a serious contempt warranting sanction. Under British Columbia case law (see below) Mann’s breach is both an unlawful act as well as an admission of guilt.
In reply to Ball’s announcement comes a statement from Mann’s lawyer that conspicuously fails to address the key issue from Tim Ball’s recent statement that:
“Michael Mann moved for an adjournment of the trial scheduled for February 20, 2017. We had little choice because Canadian courts always grant adjournments before a trial in their belief that an out of court settlement is preferable. We agreed to an adjournment with conditions. The major one was that he [Mann] produce all documents including computer codes by February 20th, 2017. He failed to meet the deadline.”
Quite simply, Mann was graciously being granted more time (obviously six years and counting isn’t time enough!) in the hope he would offer Ball an out of court settlement. In return for being granted more time, Mann finally agreed to hand over his dodgy data.
Now, readers are invited to contrast and compare Ball’s words with that of the new statement issued by Mann’s lawyer made in reply. McConchie writes:
Contrary to the nonsensical allegations made by John O’Sullivan in his July 4 posted on climatechangedispatch.com and elsewhere, plaintiff Michael Mann has fully complied with all of his disclosure obligations to the defendant Tim Ball relating to data and other documents.
No judge has made any order or given any direction, however minor or inconsequential, that Michael Mann surrenders any data or any documents to Tim Ball for any purpose.
Accordingly, it should be plain and obvious to anyone with a modicum of common sense that Mann could not possibly be in contempt of court.
Just to be clear: Mann is not defying any judge. He is not in breach of any judgment. He is not, repeat not, in contempt of court. He is not in breach of any discovery obligations to Ball.
In this context, O’Sullivan’s suggestion that Ball “is expected to instruct his British Columbia attorneys to trigger mandatory punitive court sanctions” against Mann is simply divorced from reality.
Finally, a word about the actual issues in the British Columbia lawsuit.
If O’Sullivan had read Ball’s statement of defense, he would immediately see that Ball does not intend to ask the BC Court to rule that Mann committed climate data fraud, or that Mann, in fact, did anything with criminal intent.
O’Sullivan would have noticed that one of Ball’s defenses is that the words he spoke about Mann (which are the subject of Mann’s lawsuit) were said in “jest.”
The BC Court will not be asked to decide whether or not climate change is real.
So there is no chance whatsoever that any BC Court verdict about Mann’s libel claims against Ball will vindicate Donald Trump’s perspective on climate change.
Roger D. McConchie, Lawyer
Readers will note no mention there of the intentional failure of Michael Mann to comply with the terms of the agreement. The surrender of Mann’s hidden ‘hockey stick’ data had to have been made by the deadline date of February 20, 2017.
The key words omitted by these climate ‘fake news’ peddlers are that Ball:
“…agreed to an adjournment with conditions. The major one was that he [Mann] produce all documents including computer codes by February 20th, 2017. He failed to meet the deadline.”
Adverse Inference Jury Instruction
Now, Mr. McConchie is billed as Canada’s top libel lawyer. So, he should know the consequences of his client’s failure to “produce all documents including computer codes” by the agreed deadline.
Of course, no judge has made any ruling on that issue – yet. This is because the court must wait until Ball’s lawyers have carefully fashioned a suitable remedy before they may rubber stamp it. What Tim Ball’s choice of remedy remains to be seen. The laws in British Columbia provide Ball with some powerful options. Not least of which is invoking the ‘adverse inference’ doctrine (a remedy to make a litigant whole again in the event the opposing party contemptuously withholds/destroys data).
Now let’s see some more of just how much the wheels are coming off Mann’s legal train. McConchie flounders:
“If O’Sullivan had read Ball’s statement of defense, he would immediately see that Ball does not intend to ask the BC Court to rule that Mann committed climate data fraud.”
How does McConchie know what Ball intends to now ask the court, did Ball or anyone anticipate Mad Mikey subsequently being so brazenly contemptuous of due process? Of course not! Professor Mann has, since 1998 and the publication of his infamous graph, been feted worldwide as a leading climate expert, a savior of Mother Earth. He thinks he is above the law, you see.
But reality now beckons and Ball is, as per B.C. court rules, entitled to have his lawyer fashion any reasonable remedy to right this wrong. He can, if he wishes, apply to enforce the crux of the ‘truth defense’ he has relied on from the outset. This strategy permits Ball, if Mann doesn’t show his hidden data, to be vindicated under the law such that Ball’s words, that Mann belongs in jail for data fraud, are true. Not releasing his secret science for open courtroom examination means, legally, this is an omission proving a guilty mind. B.C. case law is specific on this, it tells us intentional withholding of key evidence is an “admission of guilt” (id.).
So, what now for this serial liar and SLAPP suit specialist?
Well, things look mighty bleak for both Mann and McConchie hereon in. This is because a lawyer’s written undertaking during trial is not just an enforceable agreement, it is something the breach of which can give rise to professional regulatory sanctions. He could lose his law license.
There are many rules Mann and his hot shot lawyer have breached (inc. but not limited to: B.C. Court Rules; (19)’ An order under subrule (18) (an ‘Order by consent’); Rule 7-2 (1) (a); (2) (a) through (e); (14); Rule 7-7 — Admissions, etc).
In such cases, where the wronged party has been unlawfully denied access to the evidence, British Columbia (the jurisdiction where this case is being tried) permits a choice from among some powerful remedies. These exist to make wronged parties whole again when they suffer such an egregious transgression as Mann’s (some examples here).
Using case law precedents (such as Hodgins v. Street) Dr. Ball may likely ask for an ‘adverse inference’ remedy. This kind of remedy allows an insertion in the final court judgment to say that Mann refuses to disclose his dodgy ‘hockey stick’ data because to do so would have proven the truthfulness of Ball’s statement that Mann “belongs in the state pen, not Penn. State.” In other words, Mann did commit criminal fraud with his graph [1]
As such, McConchie erred when he claimed:
“…there is no chance whatsoever that any BC Court verdict about Mann’s libel claims against Ball will vindicate Donald Trump’s perspective on climate change.”
The reason? If Dr. Ball’s remedy is that the final judgment shows his “state pen/Penn. State” words were truthful because Mann does not disprove them and thus is ruled to have hidden his data from “a consciousness of guilt,” Ball’s words are made factual under the law. Then from that, more Mann misery might ensue. This could come under the legal doctrine of res judicata, this can have very grave legal impacts beyond Canada. [2]
For example, Mann cannot, once this case is concluded to Ball’s satisfaction, proceed with any hope of success with his numerous other SLAPP lawsuits in the United States. This is because the doctrine of res judicata is well established by comity across jurisdictional boundaries. Mikey’s acts and omissions in the Mann-v-Ball lawsuit become precedents to which other common law international courts cannot controvert.
Upon a Ball victory premised on such an adverse inference, every other court would struggle not to accede to the fact Mann is proven to have criminally used his “Nature Trick’ to deceive world leaders, the UN, and environmentalists into believing modern global temperatures were unprecedented and ‘dangerous.’
Thus, we see the nonsense of McConchie’s disingenuous assertion, “Ball does not intend to ask the BC Court to rule that Mann committed climate data fraud, or that Mann, in fact, did anything with criminal intent.”
It seems McConchie wants to deflect from the premise of his client’s lawsuit, which asserts Ball lied to defame Mann when he used the words that Mann “belongs in the state pen, not Penn State”. By shrewdly adopting the ‘truth defense’ with its high evidential burden, both the parties, in this case, had to proceed to a final outcome that determines whether Ball’s was a truthful statement or a lie.
Balls words become the truth when, after six years of litigating on it, Mann finally decides he is better served, at the last minute, by ripping up his legally-binding undertaking. By abandoning his legal burden to show his data, Mann chose to fail because he risked a worse fate by showing his hidden ‘science’. By his own omission to disclose, Mann chose the less severe of the outcomes. The more severe would likely warrant Mann’s incarceration in the state penitentiary.
Now the court must rule Ball told the truth. Mann’s omission to prove those words untruthful makes them truthful under the law. Mann does, indeed, belong in the state penitentiary for the very reasons Ball and many global warming skeptics have said repeatedly; Mann’s “Nature Trick” when creating his graph was fraud to the level of criminality.
This is the whole point of why Canadian courts (like other common law jurisdictions) allow the truth defense – to whittle away all the waffle and spin so the truth is found out.
[1] British Columbia case law details ‘adverse inference’ as follows: The principle was stated in Wigmore on Evidence, (Chadbourn rev. 1979) vol. II at 192: “…The failure to bring before the Tribunal some circumstance, document, or witness, when either the party himself or his opponent claims that the facts would thereby be elucidated, serves to indicate, as the most natural inference, that the party fears to do so, and this fear is some evidence that the circumstance or document or witness, if brought, would have exposed facts unfavourable to the party. These inferences, to be sure, cannot fairly be made except upon certain conditions; and they are also open always to explanation by circumstances which make some other hypothesis a more natural one than the party’s fear of exposure. But the propriety of such an inference in general is not doubted.”
Also, with Sopinka and Lederman in The Law of Evidence in Canada, 2nd ed., (Toronto: Butterworths Canada, 1999), describes the principle at para. 6.321:
“In civil cases, an unfavourable inference can be drawn when, in the absence of an explanation, a party litigant does not testify, or fails to provide affidavit evidence on an application, or fails to call a witness who would have knowledge of the facts and would be assumed to be willing to assist that party. In the same vein, an adverse inference may be drawn against a party who does not call a material witness over whom he or she has exclusive control and does not explain it away. Such failure amounts to an implied admission that the evidence of the absent witness would be contrary to the party’s case, or at least would not support it.”
[2] This is because res judicata is also known as claim preclusion. It is the Latin term for “a matter [already] judged”, and refers to either of two concepts: in both civil law and common law legal systems, a case in which there has been a final judgment and is no longer subject to appeal; and the legal doctrine meant to bar (or preclude) continued litigation of a case on same issues between the same parties. In this latter usage, the term is synonymous with “preclusion”.
In the case of res judicata, the matter cannot be raised again, either in the same court or in a different court. A court will use res judicata to deny reconsideration of a matter.
The doctrine of res judicata is a method of preventing injustice to the parties of a case supposedly finished, but perhaps also or mostly a way of avoiding unnecessary waste of resources in the court system. Res judicata does not merely prevent future judgments from contradicting earlier ones but also prevents litigants from multiplying judgments, and confusion.
Read more at Principia-Scientific, Intl.
So the plaintiff asked for a 6 month extension – after 6 years of litigation – with the proviso that he hands over his data by a certain date. Fails to comply. The data that couldn’t easily prove the entire case and could have done so from day one. Game, set, match in the court of common sense.
The only way to create the hockey stick temperature graph is to throw out the medieval warm period and the little ice age. Mann’s graph is his creation, he needs to answer for it himself, in court.
The scientific method includes the requirement to show your work , that the work be repeatable, consistent and thoroughly vetted even by people that aren’t your pals . Climate gate showed what an insular clique looks like . Hide the decline indeed.
$trillions are expected to be taken from tax payer so dam rights they have a right to see the details .
Please note that none of the claims against Dr Mann are true. Dr Mann is not in contempt of any court. The facts:
Contrary to the nonsensical allegations made by John O’Sullivan in his July 4 posted on climatechangedispatch.com and elsewhere, plaintiff Michael Mann has fully complied with all of his disclosure obligations to the defendant Tim Ball relating to data and other documents.
No judge has made any order or given any direction, however minor or inconsequential, that Michael Mann surrender any data or any documents to Tim Ball for any purpose.
Accordingly it should be plain and obvious to anyone with a modicum of common sense that Mann could not possibly be in contempt of court.
Just to be clear: Mann is not defying any judge. He is not in breach of any judgment. He is not, repeat not, in contempt of court. He is not in breach of any discovery obligations to Ball.
In this context, O’Sullivan’s suggestion that Ball “is expected to instruct his British Columbia attorneys to trigger mandatory punitive court sanctions” against Mann is simply divorced from reality.
Finally, a word about the actual issues in the British Columbia lawsuit.
If O’Sullivan had read Ball’s statement of defence, he would immediately see that Ball does not intend to ask the BC Court to rule that Mann committed climate data fraud, or that Mann in fact did anything with criminal intent.
O’Sullivan would have noticed that one of Ball’s defences is that the words he spoke about Mann (which are the subject of Mann’s lawsuit) were said in “jest.”
The BC Court will not be asked to decide whether or not climate change is real.
So there is no chance whatsoever that any BC Court verdict about Mann’s libel claims against Ball will vindicate Donald Trump’s perspective on climate change.
Roger D. McConchie
So what is Mann afraid of perhaps no more money to fill up his bank account its just like those little brats suing over this whole Global Warming hoax Lets hope their stupid lawsuit is dismissed and their parents tear up their eco-wacko group membership cards and turns over the 50 Simple Things Kids Can Do To save The Earth over to a paper recycling
Let’s see the adjournment conditions .
I’m with you Amber. All this contention of legal culpability is, so far, based on one report by Dr. Balls friends. I would really like to see a link to the documents from the court or a court’s statement of default with possible legal penalties.
There is not one grain of truth to this latest piece of nonsense from Ball and his cronies.
Just for starters all the data for the 75 or more ‘hockey stick’ graphs that have been produced since Mann produced his original is already in the public domain and has been for years.
ALL of the hockey sticks independently verify Mann’s original.
Here are just a few of them.
Cronin et al. 2003:
Reconstructed temperatures between 200 BC and AD 2000 around Chesapeake Bay, USA, using sediment core records.
Pollack and Smerdon 2004:
Reconstructed global average temperatures since AD 1500 using temperature data from 695 boreholes from around the globe.
Esper et al. 2005:
Compared and averaged five independent reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere temperatures from AD 1000 to AD 2000.
Moberg et al. 2005:
Combined tree ring proxies with glacial ice cores, stalagmite, and lake sediment proxies to reconstruct Northern Hemisphere temperatures from AD 1 to AD 2000.
Oerlemans 2005:
Reconstructed global temperatures from AD 1500 to AD 2000 using 169 glacial ice proxies from around the globe.
Rutherford, et al. 2005:
Compared two multi-proxy temperature reconstructions and tested the results of each reconstruction for sensitivity to type of statistics used, proxy characteristics, seasonal variation, and geographic location. Concluded that the reconstructions were robust to various sources of error.
D’Arrigo et al. 2006:
Reconstructed Northern Hemisphere temperatures between AD 700 and AD 2000 from multiple tree ring proxies using a new statistical technique called Regional Curve Standardization. Concluded that their new technique was superior to the older technique used by previous reconstructions.
Osborn and Briffa 2006:
Used 14 regional temperature reconstructions between AD 800 and AD 20
00 to compare spatial extent of changes in Northern Hemisphere temperatures. Found that twentieth century warming was more widespread than any other temperature change of the past 1,200 years.
Hegerl et al. 2007:
Combined borehole temperatures and tree ring proxies to reconstruct Northern Hemisphere temperatures over the past 1,450 years. Introduced a new calibration technique between proxy temperatures and instrumental temperatures.
Juckes et al. 2007:
Combined multiple older reconstructions into a meta-analysis. Also used existing proxies to calculate a new Northern Hemisphere temperature reconstruction.
Wahl and Ammann 2007:
Used the tree ring proxies, glacial proxies, and borehole proxies used by Mann et al. (1998, 1999) to recalculate Northern Hemisphere temperatures since AD 800. Refuted the McIntyre and McKitrick criticisms and showed that those criticisms were based on flawed statistical techniques.
Wilson, et al. 2007:
Reconstructed Northern Hemisphere temperatures from AD 1750 to AD 2000 using tree ring proxies that did not show a divergence problem after AD 1960.
Mann et al. 2008: (an updated version)
Reconstructed global temperatures between AD 200 and AD 2000 using 1,209 independent proxies ranging from tree rings to boreholes to sediment cores to stalagmite cores to Greenland and Antarctic ice cores.
Kaufman, et al. 2009:
Used tree rings, lake sediment cores, and glacial ice cores to reconstruct Arctic temperatures between 1 BC and 2000 AD.
von Storch et al. 2009:
Tested three different temperature reconstruction techniques to show that the Composite plus Scaling method was better than the other two methods.
Frank et al. 2010:
A brief history of proxy temperature reconstructions, as well as analysis of the main questions remaining in temperature reconstructions.
Kellerhals et al. 2010:
Used ammonium concentration in a glacial ice core to reconstruct tropical South American temperatures over the past 1,600 years.
Ljungqvist 2010:
Reconstructed extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere temperatures from AD 1 to AD 2000 using historical records, sediment cores, tree rings, and stalagmites.
Thibodeau et al. 2010:
Reconstructed temperatures at the bottom of the Gulf of St. Lawrence since AD 1000 via sediment cores.
Tingley and Huybers 2010a, 2010b:
Used a Bayesian approach to reconstruct North American temperatures.
Büntgen et al. 2011: Used tree ring proxies to reconstruct Central European temperatures between 500 BC and AD 2000.
Kemp et al. 2011:
Reconstructed sea levels off North Carolina, USA from 100 BC to AD 2000 using sediment cores. They also showed that sea levels changed with global temperature for at least the past millennium.
Kinnard et al. 2011:
Used multiple proxies to reconstruct late summer Arctic sea ice between AD 561 and AD 1995, using instrumental data to extend their record to AD 2000.
Martin-Chivelet et al. 2011: Reconstructed temperatures in the Iberian Peninsula from 2000 BC to AD 2000 using stalagmites.
Spielhagen et al. 2011:
Reconstructed marine temperatures in the Fram Strait from 100 BC to AD 2000 using sediment cores.
Esper et al. 2012:
Used tree ring proxies to reconstruct Northern Scandinavian temperatures 100 BC to AD 2000. May have solved the post-AD 1960 tree ring divergence problem.
Ljungqvist et al. 2012:
Used a network of 120 tree ring proxies, ice core proxies, pollen records, sediment cores, and historical documents to reconstruct Northern Hemisphere temperatures between AD 800 and AD 2000, with emphasis on proxies recording the Medieval Warm Period.
Melvin et al. 2012:
Reanalyzed tree ring data for the Torneträsk region of northern Sweden.
Abram et al. 2013:
Reconstructed snow melt records and temperatures in the Antarctic Peninsula since AD 1000 using ice core records.
Marcott, et al. 2013:
Reconstructed global temperatures over the past 11,000 years using sediment cores. Data ended at AD 1940.
Rhodes et al. 2013:
Used proxy and instrumental records to reconstruct global temperatures from AD 1753 to AD 2011
So Mr Ball, check all of these out and if you can find evidence that any of them are flawed in any way then submit your research and study findings for peer-review and if it is correct it will probably be accepted for publication in one of the respected science journals.
THAT is how you debate science.
Your argument is not valid. If these graphs proved the data, they would have been cited in the case. It’s obvious Mann is trying to hide because he delays & doesn’t provide the actual data for debate. Until he provides the data he just looks like he is waiting for Ball to die to avoid compliance.
Leslie Graham writes: “…ALL of the hockey sticks independently verify Mann’s original…”
This is incorrect, as the work of McKitrick & McIntyre shows.
Also, if the “Hockey Stick” is valid, why would Mann have denied recently that he created- and promoted it; and why has the IPCC abandoned it, without explanation?
A lot of words with no reference to the case number or specific terms of the extension agreement. Seems as if something is there, but really hard to tell. We’re left in the dark until something else happens, hoping that hearings or a trial will get the facts on “global warming” out in the open.
I find it interesting that Mann’s data was not filed as agreed.
I’m not a climate scientist but also find it interesting that the alarmist community is suffering apoplexy over the thought of the EPA sponsoring a debate on climate change. If the facts were on their side would they not jump at a chance to silence apostates like Ball, Curry, et al, once and for all? Could somebody explain how a group of scientists can tell another group of scientists that the debate is over?
I thought theories, especially theories based on models, would always be open to attempts to disprove them. Or has science gone post-modern?
“…I thought theories, especially theories based on models, would always be open to attempts to disprove them…”
See Phil Jones’ statement in his e-mail to Ross McKitrick: “we” (I’m paraphrasing here) “have invested years in this research – why should we give it to you, just so that you can try to find something wrong with it…?”
Any professor who can make such a statement should not be allowed in the halls of science – he should immediately have been fired…
Mann’s tactics are obvious, sue a 73yo man, delay the court case for 6 years, go for a 6 month extention and delay delay delay hoping that 79 yo Dr Ball will die before the court case is decided.