Recent media reports by the National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration (NOAA) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) are claiming 2015 as the “Warmest Year Ever” based on land-based temperature readings.
Yet the most important aspect of these stories has been drowned out / lost in the giant media climate change Tsunami wave of propaganda and misinformation. No one has answered one extremely important question: What was the cause of this increase in atmospheric temperatures after an 18-plus-year lull?
Based on large amounts of reliable data, observations, and very telling shallow sea surface temperature (SST) maps, the answer to the above question is geological forces (as a geologist, I am acutely aware of the Earth’s physical structure and substance, its history, and the processes that act on it). In other words, like all scientists in their respective fields, I have prejudices too, but I try to keep them grounded and based on sound scientific principals, not pie-in-the-sky computer models.
Proof supporting my predisposed statement is based on: Utilizing the most reliable atmospheric temperature data, low-level satellite measurements, and that Earth’s atmospheric temperature has not risen in nearly 19 years. Even using NOAA’s ‘cooked’ temperature data, there has only been moderate and, more importantly, constant temperature rate increases for 18.9 years. None of the data sets supports / predicts a dramatic and sudden increase in global atmospheric temperatures as per the 2015 record-breaking year.
Atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) during the last 18.9 years has risen at a constant, moderate rate of roughly 2 parts per million/year. This trend agrees with / confirms that the constant rate and very low-level temperature trends of the last 19 years, especially the original “unadjusted” data, is correct. So here again no hint that the trace gas CO2 is the cause of the 2015 atmospheric temperature change.
Having eliminated the top two 2015 temperature anomaly cause contenders, at least as per those favoring the theory of man-made global warming, it becomes necessary to consider other alternative reasons. Let’s begin:
The 1998 El Niño warmed Earth’s atmosphere by 1.3 degrees Celsius (2.34 degrees Fahrenheit) and not surprisingly the 2015 El Niño has warmed the Earth by a nearly identical amount…1.57 degrees Celsius (2.86 degrees Fahrenheit). The main takeaway from this observation is that the 2015 ‘warmest year ever’ record is not that unique. An equally anomalous increase in atmospheric temperatures occurred in 1998. Both of these anomalous atmospheric temperature events occurred in El Niño years. This strongly implies that there is a relationship between so-called ‘warmest year ever’ records and El Niños.
For more detailed discussions concerning the geological nature of all El Niños, the reader is directed to these previous CCD posts here and here. There you will find very compelling and scientific information / discussions that document how El Niños are generated by super-heated and chemically charged fluid flow from an area east of Papua New Guinea and the Solomon islands. This is one of the most active geological areas on earth (Figure 2.).
If you dig deep enough into many of the 2015 ‘warmest year ever’ media reports you will find statements that can be paraphrased as follows: ”El Niños may be the root cause of the current temperature anomaly”, and “El Niños are caused by unknown natural forces.” These are very telling statements that are missed by most reporters in the mainstream media, and by extension the public, and are essentially a confirmation that man-made global warming is not the root cause of this 2015 warming anomaly.
Some things in life are counter-intuitive, but when you stop and think about these things they make perfect sense. These are “aha moments”, defined in Webster’s as a moment of sudden realization, insight, recognition, or comprehension. So let’s take a moment and think about the 2015 increase in atmospheric temperatures. It just doesn’t fit any of the normal trends. It is in fact so bizarre that it has to be caused be some seemingly unknown force—a force that is outside the normal CO2, atmospheric temperature, or oceanic temperature trends.
It’s time to give proper consideration that both the 2015 El Niño and 2015 ‘warmest year ever’ might be caused by geological forces. Such as a sudden expulsion of chemically charged and super-heated seawater from a deep ocean fault zone in the western Pacific Ocean that is the proven source area for all E Niños (and happen on a regular basis). This notion certainly fits all the known data and observations. Additionally, its fits very well into the Plate Climatology Theory, which proposes that geological forces are the root cause of many “natural” variations in the Earth’s climate patterns, including El Niños.
Hopefully after reading this, you too will have your own “aha moment.”
James Edward Kamis is a working professional Geologist, AAPG member of 41 years who has a BS and MS in Geology. He has always been fascinated by the connection between Geology and Climate. Years of research / observation have convinced him that the Earth’s Heat Flow Engine, which drives the outer crustal plates, is also an important driver of the Earth’s climate.