Study reveals, Global warming not progressing as fast as depicted in worst-case models

satellite weatherA new study has revealed that global warming is progressing at a moderate rate than the scenarios depicted in the worst-case models outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

A new study based on 1,000 years of temperature records suggests global warming is not progressing as fast as it would under the most severe emissions scenarios outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

The study led by Duke University showed that natural variability in surface temperatures, caused by interactions between the ocean and atmosphere, and other natural factors, can account for observed changes in the recent rates of warming from decade to decade.

The researchers say these “climate wiggles” could slow or speed the rate of warming from decade to decade, and accentuate or offset the effects of increases in greenhouse gas concentrations. If not properly explained and accounted for, they may skew the reliability of climate models and lead to over-interpretation of short-term temperature trends.

The research used empirical data, rather than the more commonly used climate models, to estimate decade-to-decade variability.

Patrick T. Brown, a doctoral student in climatology at Duke University’s Nicholas School of the Environment said that Statistically, it’s pretty unlikely that an 11-year hiatus in warming, like the one it was seen at the start of this century, would occur if the underlying human-caused warming was progressing at a rate as fast as the most severe IPCC projections.

Hiatus periods of 11 years or longer are more likely to occur under a middle-of-the-road scenario, he further added.

The study is published in the peer-reviewed journal Scientific Reports.

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  • Avatar

    Amber

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    $Trillions of dollars misallocated to the Climate Hustlers . Surprise,Surprise the hypothesis isn’t even backed up with climate model guesses .

    The hot air is being let out of one of the biggest and costly scams ever .

    Can’t wait to see the media climb down
    or more likely the rapid decline in pumping the tires of the scary global warming band wagon . It’s about time they stopped being the propaganda mouth piece for the fear mongering Global Warming (climate change ) Hustlers .

  • Avatar

    Gator

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    Until scientists can list all climate forcings, order them from most to least effective, and then quantify them, it is not possible to blame man for global climate changes.

    And this paper says as much. The truth is we just don’t know.

    But we [i]do[/i] know that there are [i]real[/i] problems that need our attention [b]now[/b].

    • Avatar

      Just Some Kid

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      “Until scientists can list all climate forcings, order them from most to least effective, and then quantify them, it is not possible to blame man for global climate changes.”

      Call to perfection, and thereby complete bullsh.t …

      “But we do know that there are real problems that need our attention now.” Not a practical idea. (to divert all our attention.) what are these scientists supposed to do? give up their doctorates on climate etc and go research feeding the hungry? They are no experts in such fields! they can be worth 1 man in each in that area, whereas they could be worth 100 in academia!

      I think it would be a reasonable allocation of resources to allow them to continue their work.

      I could rant more about this. press me if you want to hear more.

      • Avatar

        Gator

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        [quote]I could rant more about this.[/quote]

        All you have done is rant, lie, and waste time.

        Good luck with your ‘nihgt classes’ and ‘exams’. 😀

        [quote]# Just Some Kid 2015-04-20 19:06
        I listen to reason, but little else. Provide me sufficient evidence and I’ll flip to your side, but it has to be legitimate. I can’t be convinced if I suspect I’m being lied to, or otherwise misled.[/quote]

        Liar child.

        [quote]# Just Some Kid 2015-04-23 23:17
        I enjoy wasting your time. but that isn’t much of a loss, really. you’re on here more than I am.[/quote]

        And…

        [quote]# Just Some Kid 2015-04-24 00:07
        I never denied being a troll, in fact I claimed that title before you brought it up.[/quote]

        Grow up child.

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