Efforts to curtail world temps will almost surely fail

earth space(h/t Raining Sky) Last December, officials representing more than 190 countries met in Paris to participate in the United Nations Climate Change Conference. The historic outcome from that conference was the “Paris Agreement” in which each country agreed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in order to limit global warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above temperatures seen near the start of the Industrial Revolution in the 1850s.

Such a level was considered acceptable, or “safe,” by all participating countries, but the goal is unrealistic and almost impossible to achieve, according to a new study by two Texas A&M University at Galveston researchers.

Glenn Jones (professor of marine sciences) and Kevin Warner (Ph.D. candidate in marine biology), have had their paper published in the international journal Energy Policy.

The Texas A&M researchers modelled the projected growth in global population and per capita energy consumption, as well as the size of known reserves of oil, coal and natural gas, and greenhouse gas emissions to determine just how difficult it will be to achieve the less-than-2 degree Celsius warming goal.

“It would require rates of change in our energy infrastructure and energy mix that have never happened in world history and that are extremely unlikely to be achieved,” explains Jones.

The Paris Agreement’s overall goal is to replace fossil fuels, which emit huge amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere which in turn leads to higher temperatures, with renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power and biofuels.

“Just considering wind power, we found that it would take an annual installation of 485,000 5-megawatt wind turbines by 2028. The equivalent of about 13,000 were installed in 2015. That’s a 37-fold increase in the annual installation rate in only 13 years to achieve just the wind power goal,” adds Jones.

Similar expansion rates are needed for other renewable energy sources.

Recent statistics show that the month of February 2016 was the warmest February ever, while 2015 was also the warmest year since records have been kept.

Read rest…

Leave a comment (newest first):

Comments (6)

  • Avatar

    Aido

    |

    The fossil fuels will all run out, eventually.

    Something has to replace them.

    Thorium.

    LNER.

    ‘Nuff said.

  • Avatar

    Me

    |

    [quote name=”Aido”]The fossil fuels will all run out, eventually.

    Something has to replace them.

    Thorium.

    LNER.

    ‘Nuff said.[/quote]
    —————————–
    And Yeah we heard that in the 70’s and 80’s and when oil was it’s most expensive and cost the most per barrel it was never mentioned as much. Then fracking happened, and it was everywhere! Yet again, Imagine that! And so it was around that time what else happened, it was internet, than people can share information! Imagine that! 😀
    And today it is comming home to roust where we are on the brink of running out to it’s everywhere and the chicken littles are still being chicken littles. Imagine that! 😆

  • Avatar

    Me

    |

    Ok then, I’m done here. I’ll visit to see what’s happening but that’s it. Moderate and censor all ya like, but it’s the same old that the warmist sites have done. Wish it wasn’t that way but it is what it is.

  • Avatar

    JayPee

    |

    @ Aido

    Your thinking runs out
    Your life runs out
    Your conception ad infinitum runs out
    the entirety of your thoughts and thought processes run out

    SO WHAT

    Various things are not infinite

    Are human beings infinite ?

    Is the earth infinite ?

    Is the universe infinite ?

    We should deny ourselves what to attain what in the future where nothing is guaranteed,

    and there may not be a future !

    The microbes are making a comeback and there is no defense to their multi-resistant evolute.

    The agri-pestulants are multiplying in the face of no defense to it.

    Pollution is rising to the ability to just poison people out of the 3rd world areas.

    The possibility of world war will probably be meted out and with enormous consequence given that the lesson of the eruption of WW1

    has never been learned !

  • Avatar

    David Lewis

    |

    This article has a good point but is dead wrong in others. First, it assumes the earth is headed for significant warming. This is based on the assumption that the UN IPCC climate models are correct. Yet the average model is running three times hotter than real world data. A common alarmist projection is for 5.5 degrees C of warming. If a very simplistic approach you correct for how much hotter the models are running than reality, this translates to 1.8 degree C increase.

    The article also stated that “while 2015 was also the warmest year since records have been kept.” This is also not true. The year 2010 was warmer as were some years in the 1930’s. This warmest ever is based on NOAA only using ground sensors that support its cause and then tampering with that data.

    One very accurate point the article makes is the inability to achieve the Paris agreement if you measure success in terms of carbon dioxide reduction. For those who insist on believing in the predictions of the flawed climate models, it is better to invest money in adaptation rather then expensive renewable energy.

    As far as fossil fuels running out eventually, this has to happen. Even though there may be a 100+ year supply, they are still finite. In that way the anthropological climate change movement has done us great service. By forcing the use of wind and solar power, we have learned these are not viable solutions. Thus, when energy reserves start to run out, the world won’t waste a decade discovering this and can move on to solutions that will work.

  • Avatar

    JayPee

    |

    Yes David

    The supply of various fuels may be finite.

    But I disagree with the implied presumption that humanity’s longevity is infinite. I doubt that very much.

Comments are closed

No Trackbacks.